Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Casio Computer Co Ltd stock $101, price $122, that is 17.5% below the price, quality 74 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $64.27 – $162.92 · fair‑value band $78.19 – $141.63 · the $122.45 price screens above the $101.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Casio Computer Co.,Ltd. engages in the development, production, sales, and services of watches, consumer products, systems, and other fields. It operates through Timepieces, Consumer, System Equipment, and Others segments.
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The company offers timepieces, calculators, electronic dictionaries, label printers, electronic musical instruments, other products; and formed parts and molds. It also provides HR solutions, and management support systems. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY) currently trades at $122.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $101.03, 17% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $128.81 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the $122.45 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $35.74, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $78.19 (bear) to $141.63 (bull), the price of $122.45 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Casio Computer Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥293B in FY2026 versus ¥252B in FY2022, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥19.3B in FY2026, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.7B Mid · P/E ratio 23.1 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) $5.30 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −17%, CSIOY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$78.19Fair Value $101.03Bull$141.63
Price $122.45 · Downside -17.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.22 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.8% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+2.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.7% vs −1.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%
2026 sits 70% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.0% a year for the price and −0.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (60 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Moderate moat supported by premium G-SHOCK models and a new medium-term plan but limited by low ROE and margins that constrain pricing power.
Main risk: Low ROE and margins constraining pricing power risk limiting profit growth in the watch and education segments.
Casio has released its 2026 integrated report and started a new medium-term plan aimed at steady growth and stronger profits in the watch and education businesses. Premium G-SHOCK models continue to add sapphire crystals and limited collaborations. Our models currently see it as overvalued. Will the plan's emphasis on these segments improve margins more than the steady stream of new watch releases can deliver on its own?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consumer Electronics · 114 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−17.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.5% · Above median
Return on assets5.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)8.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)17.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)19.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.1× · Pricier than median
P/B1.80× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.47× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)23.1× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Casio Computer Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CSIOY
Frequently asked questions
Is Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $101.03 versus a price of $122.45, about 17% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CSIOY?
Our model-based fair value for Casio Computer Co Ltd is $101.03 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $122.45.
What is the quality score of CSIOY?
Casio Computer Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $101.03 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $78.19, optimistic scenario $141.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Casio Computer Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $101.03, about 17% lower versus a price of $122.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $78.19, optimistic scenario $141.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
Casio Computer Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥289B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Casio Computer Co Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Casio Computer Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.90% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Casio Computer Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 31, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2001. The payout ratio is 41.8% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.28 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Casio Computer Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +4.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CSIOY use?
Our models discount Casio Computer Co Ltd at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Casio Computer Co Ltd that is +4.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Casio Computer Co Ltd grew +5.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +4.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Casio Computer Co Ltd (+4.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.24 %: that much free cash flow Casio Computer Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Casio Computer Co Ltd it is $101.03 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $122.45. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Casio Computer Co Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, CSIOY trades above its calculated fair value: price $122.45, fair value $101.03, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CSIOY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($122.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($101.03). For Casio Computer Co Ltd the two are $21.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Casio Computer Co Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Casio Computer Co Ltd at about $2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $122.45; our models calculate a fair value of $101.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CSIOY?
Our models span a range for Casio Computer Co Ltd: cautious scenario $78.19, base $101.03, optimistic $141.63 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $122.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CSIOY?
Casio Computer Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.1 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $101.03 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.8, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 8.4.
What is the PEG ratio of CSIOY?
The PEG ratio of Casio Computer Co Ltd is 0.80 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Casio Computer Co Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 10.5%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CSIOY from its 52-week high?
Casio Computer Co Ltd trades at $122.45, about 25% below its 52-week high of $162.92 and 65% above the low of $74.03 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $101.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Casio Computer Co Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Samsung Electronics Co, Sony Group, Xiaomi Corporation, LG Electronics Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Casio Computer Co Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $122.45, calculated fair value $101.03 (−17%), Quality Score 74/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CSIOY calculated?
We run Casio Computer Co Ltd through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $101.03 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Casio Computer Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $122.45. Our model-based fair value is $101.03, about 17% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Casio Computer Co Ltd ADR right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (74/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($78.19 to $141.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY) come from?
Earnings per share at Casio Computer Co Ltd grew −5.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.7 %, EBIT margin −5.6 %, tax rate −1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Casio Computer Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
The market capitalisation of Casio Computer Co Ltd is $2.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Casio Computer Co Ltd is 1.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
Earnings per share at Casio Computer Co Ltd are $5.30 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
The dividend yield of Casio Computer Co Ltd is 1.9% (payout 43.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
The net margin of Casio Computer Co Ltd is 6.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Casio Computer Co Ltd is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Casio Computer Co Ltd is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
The operating margin of Casio Computer Co Ltd is 17.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
Revenue at Casio Computer Co Ltd is growing +19.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY)?
Earnings per share at Casio Computer Co Ltd are growing +157% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Casio Computer Co Ltd (CSIOY) hold?
Casio Computer Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, ¥46.3B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026