Casio Computer Co (CSIOY) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $2.6B
Casio Computer Co
CSIOY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +16.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($137.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range ($76.27 to $137.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $65.00 – $158.71 · fair‑value band $76.27 – $137.92 · the $143.03 price screens above the $101.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Casio Computer Co (CSIOY) currently trades at $143.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $101.34, implying the stock looks roughly 29.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Casio Computer Co generated revenue of $276B at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $46.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $76.27 (bear case) to $137.92 (bull case); at $143.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 102% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -29%, CSIOY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($110.78) versus Asset-Based ($47.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Casio Computer Co.,Ltd. engages in the development, production, sales, and services of watches, consumer products, systems, and other fields. It operates through Timepieces, Consumer, System Equipment, and Others segments.
Full company description
Casio Computer Co.,Ltd. engages in the development, production, sales, and services of watches, consumer products, systems, and other fields. It operates through Timepieces, Consumer, System Equipment, and Others segments. The company offers timepieces, calculators, electronic dictionaries, label printers, electronic musical instruments, other products; and formed parts and molds. It also provides HR solutions, and management support systems. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Casio Computer Co reported revenue of $293B in FY2026 versus $252B in FY2022, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $19.3B in FY2026, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2022.
CSIOY screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Apple Inc →
Peer Group
Consumer Electronics · 129 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Inc AAPL | $313.33 | $122.91 | -61% |
| Samsung Electronics Co 005930 | 255,000 KRW | 138,019 KRW | -46% |
| Sony Group SONYN | 366.00 MXN | 468.94 MXN | +28% |
| Xiaomi Corporation 1810 | HK$26.88 | HK$39.84 | +48% |
| LG Electronics Inc 066570 | 179,000 KRW | 101,531 KRW | -43% |
| Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 | ¥277.96 | ¥35.89 | -87% |
| Huaqin Co 603296 | ¥78.20 | ¥65.69 | -16% |
| Goertek Inc 002241 | ¥22.25 | ¥18.86 | -15% |
| LG Corp 003550 | 102,400 KRW | 93,881 KRW | -8% |
| Anker Innovations Limited 300866 | ¥105.92 | ¥78.52 | -26% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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