Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co stock $8.05, price $10.51, that is 23.4% below the price, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. operates in the fastener industry in North America. It operates through Fasteners and Assembly Equipment. The Fastener segment manufactures and sells rivets, cold-formed fasteners and parts, and screw machine products.
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The Assembly Equipment segment engages in the manufacture and sale of automatic rivet setting machines, as well as parts and tools for related machines. It sells its products to automotive industry through independent sales representatives.
The company was founded in 1920 and is based in Warrenville, Illinois.
Stock analysis
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) currently trades at $10.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.05, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $5.31 (bear) to $10.06 (bull), the price of $10.51 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co reported revenue of $27.9M in FY2025 versus $34.0M in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $10.2M Micro · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) $−2.53 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −8.9% · Return on equity −13.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −14.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −23%, CVR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$5.31Fair Value $8.05Bull$10.06
Price $10.51 · Downside -23.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $8,865, on May 19, 2026.
BuyKent H CooneyDirector900 shares at $9.85$8,865May 19, 2026
BuyJohn A Morrissey10% owner2,537 shares at $14.36$36,431Dec 12, 2025
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.11/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.6% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.3% (2020) → −5.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Chicago Rivet & Machine Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−23.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−4.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−8.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−14.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−0.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CVR
Frequently asked questions
Is Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.05 versus a price of $10.51, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CVR?
Our model-based fair value for Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is $8.05 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.51.
What is the quality score of CVR?
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.05 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.31, optimistic scenario $10.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chicago Rivet & Machine Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.05, about 23% lower versus a price of $10.51 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.31, optimistic scenario $10.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Chicago Rivet & Machine Co pay a dividend?
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co currently shows a dividend yield of 0.86% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co pays a dividend of $0.09 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 6, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1985. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.9% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.9% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chicago Rivet & Machine Co it is $8.05 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $10.51. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Chicago Rivet & Machine Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, CVR trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.51, fair value $8.05, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CVR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.51); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.05). For Chicago Rivet & Machine Co the two are $2.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chicago Rivet & Machine Co worth?
The market values Chicago Rivet & Machine Co at about $10.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $10.51; our models calculate a fair value of $8.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CVR?
Our models span a range for Chicago Rivet & Machine Co: cautious scenario $5.31, base $8.05, optimistic $10.06 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $10.51). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CVR?
The PEG ratio of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is 2.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −13.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CVR from its 52-week high?
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co trades at $10.51, about 28% below its 52-week high of $14.63 and 21% above the low of $8.67 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chicago Rivet & Machine Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chicago Rivet & Machine Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $10.51, calculated fair value $8.05 (−23%), Quality Score 58/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CVR calculated?
We run Chicago Rivet & Machine Co through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $8.05 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Chicago Rivet & Machine Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $10.51. Our model-based fair value is $8.05, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chicago Rivet & Machine Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($5.31 to $10.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
The market capitalisation of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is $10.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
Earnings per share at Chicago Rivet & Machine Co are $−2.53. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
The dividend yield of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
The net margin of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is −8.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is −13.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is −7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
The operating margin of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is −14.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
Revenue at Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is growing −0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
Earnings per share at Chicago Rivet & Machine Co are growing +19.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) generate?
The free cash flow of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is −$1.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) hold?
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co holds more cash than debt, $797K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 8, 2026