SBF AG (CY1K) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SBF AG stock €1.49, price €2.26, that is 34.1% below the price, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.21 – €11.60 · fair‑value band €0.9400 – €2.32 · the €2.26 price screens above the €1.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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SBF AG, through its subsidiary, SBF Spezialleuchten GmbH, engages in developing and manufacturing complex lighting and ceiling systems for rail vehicles, municipalities, railways, and industry in Germany.
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The company offers ceiling and lighting systems; and modern and smart LED systems for the lighting of industrial plants and infrastructure, such as roads and train stations. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Leipzig, Germany. SBF AG operates as a subsidiary of ELBER GmbH.
Stock analysis
SBF AG (CY1K) currently trades at €2.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.49, 34% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €2.10 per share, and 2 of the 10 models we run sit above the €2.26 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.7900, and 8 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €0.9400 (bear) to €2.32 (bull), the price of €2.26 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SBF AG reported revenue of €41.9M in FY2025 versus €31.2M in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €21.9M Micro · P/E ratio 226.0 · P/S ratio 0.63 · EPS (TTM) €0.0100 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −34%, CY1K screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€0.9400Fair Value €1.49Bull€2.32
Price €2.26 · Downside -34.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0086 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +63.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.5% (2020) → −1.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−34.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets−2.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)4.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−9.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.23× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)226.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.80× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.63× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)29.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA20.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)2· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)88· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SBF AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CY1K
Frequently asked questions
Is SBF AG (CY1K) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.49 versus a price of €2.26, about 34% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CY1K?
Our model-based fair value for SBF AG is €1.49 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.26.
What is the quality score of CY1K?
SBF AG has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SBF AG (CY1K)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.49 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.9400, optimistic scenario €2.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SBF AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.49, about 34% lower versus a price of €2.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.9400, optimistic scenario €2.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SBF AG (CY1K)?
SBF AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €38.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into SBF AG (CY1K)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SBF AG would have to grow free cash flow by +14.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.4 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CY1K use?
Our models discount SBF AG at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SBF AG that is +14.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SBF AG (CY1K) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SBF AG grew +14.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +14.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SBF AG (CY1K) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SBF AG (+14.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SBF AG (CY1K)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.83 %: that much free cash flow SBF AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SBF AG (CY1K)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SBF AG it is €1.49 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of €2.26. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is SBF AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, CY1K trades above its calculated fair value: price €2.26, fair value €1.49, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CY1K?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.49). For SBF AG the two are €0.7700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SBF AG worth?
The market values SBF AG at about €21.9M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is €2.26; our models calculate a fair value of €1.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CY1K?
Our models span a range for SBF AG: cautious scenario €0.9400, base €1.49, optimistic €2.32 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price €2.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CY1K?
SBF AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 226.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.49 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2017 to 2021), reported earnings: 8.6. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 20.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of SBF AG (CY1K)?
Balance-sheet figures for SBF AG (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CY1K from its 52-week high?
SBF AG trades at €2.26, about 63% below its 52-week high of €6.15 and 2% above the low of €2.21 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SBF AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Norfolk Southern Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SBF AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price €2.26, calculated fair value €1.49 (−34%), Quality Score 57/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CY1K calculated?
We run SBF AG through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €1.49 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. SBF AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SBF AG (CY1K)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €2.26. Our model-based fair value is €1.49, about 34% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SBF AG right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€0.9400 to €2.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of SBF AG
How large is the market capitalisation of SBF AG (CY1K)?
The market capitalisation of SBF AG is €21.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SBF AG (CY1K)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SBF AG is 0.63 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SBF AG (CY1K)?
Earnings per share at SBF AG are €0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 226.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SBF AG (CY1K)?
The net margin of SBF AG is 0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SBF AG (CY1K)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SBF AG is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SBF AG (CY1K)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SBF AG is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SBF AG (CY1K)?
The operating margin of SBF AG is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SBF AG (CY1K)?
Revenue at SBF AG is growing −9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does SBF AG (CY1K) carry?
The net debt of SBF AG is €1.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 7, 2026