Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Energi Mega Persada Tbk stock IDR 485, price IDR 555, that is 12.6% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 98.00 IDR – 2,200 IDR · fair‑value band 322.17 IDR – 696.44 IDR · the 555.00 IDR price screens above the 485.33 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.
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PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk, through its subsidiaries, operates as an upstream oil and natural gas company in Indonesia, Mozambique, and Japan. It engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas.
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The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) currently trades at 555.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 485.33 IDR, 13% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 731.14 IDR per share, and 10 of the 23 models we run sit above the 555.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 372.22 IDR, and 13 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 322.17 IDR (bear) to 696.44 IDR (bull), the price of 555.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Energi Mega Persada Tbk reported revenue of $492M in FY2025 versus $406M in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $90.4M in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 25.7T IDR (≈ $1.4B) Small · P/E ratio 13.5 · P/S ratio 2.47 · EPS (TTM) 41.25 IDR · Net margin 18.4% · Return on equity 12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 38.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 68 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −13%, ENRG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear322.17 IDRFair Value 485.33 IDRBull696.44 IDR
Price 555.00 IDR · Downside -12.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (35.26 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF349.75 IDR527.45 IDR750.60 IDR80
Growth DCF352.07 IDR506.93 IDR690.11 IDR79
5Y EBITDA Exit507.99 IDR886.05 IDR1,322 IDR74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF349.75 IDR527.45 IDR750.60 IDR80
5Y Revenue Exit225.95 IDR364.69 IDR534.09 IDR72
5Y EBITDA Exit507.99 IDR886.05 IDR1,322 IDR74
5Y P/E Exit384.25 IDR657.32 IDR938.54 IDR70
10Y Revenue Exit269.41 IDR397.41 IDR556.70 IDR67
10Y EBITDA Exit432.24 IDR712.29 IDR1,077 IDR67
10Y P/E Exit363.40 IDR574.14 IDR823.86 IDR63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd381.12 IDR1,127 IDR1,491 IDR65
Lynch FV236.57 IDR337.96 IDR439.35 IDR61
PEG = 1.0236.57 IDR337.96 IDR439.35 IDR57
EPV427.68 IDR494.82 IDR549.79 IDR74
Multiples
P/E Multiple588.49 IDR784.65 IDR980.82 IDR63
P/S Multiple274.51 IDR366.01 IDR457.51 IDR58
P/B Multiple749.99 IDR999.98 IDR1,250 IDR55
EV/EBIT441.64 IDR677.63 IDR913.63 IDR65
EV/EBITDA567.57 IDR845.55 IDR1,124 IDR66
EV/Revenuen/a99.66 IDR209.46 IDR50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)277.77 IDR372.22 IDR555.55 IDR54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF352.07 IDR506.93 IDR690.11 IDR79
Rev-Margin DCF225.95 IDR371.48 IDR538.90 IDR72
Economic Profit
Residual Income451.66 IDR483.31 IDR545.71 IDR71
ROIC Compounder427.68 IDR494.82 IDR549.79 IDR72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E501.82 IDR716.89 IDR931.95 IDR67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.4% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.5% vs −6.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.34% → 31%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 18.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.5% a year for the price.
Compare Energi Mega Persada Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Below median
Fair Value upside−12.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.8% · Above median
Return on assets5.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)18.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)38.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)20.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)13.5× · Pricier than median
P/B1.58× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)2.62× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)23.9× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Energi Mega Persada Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENRG
Frequently asked questions
Is Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 485.33 IDR versus a price of 555.00 IDR, about 13% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ENRG?
Our model-based fair value for Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 485.33 IDR (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 555.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ENRG?
Energi Mega Persada Tbk has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 485.33 IDR (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 322.17 IDR, optimistic scenario 696.44 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Energi Mega Persada Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 485.33 IDR, about 13% lower versus a price of 555.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 322.17 IDR, optimistic scenario 696.44 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Energi Mega Persada Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $542M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Energi Mega Persada Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +17.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.7 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ENRG use?
Our models discount Energi Mega Persada Tbk at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Energi Mega Persada Tbk that is +17.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Energi Mega Persada Tbk grew +8.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +17.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Energi Mega Persada Tbk (+17.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.50 %: that much free cash flow Energi Mega Persada Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Energi Mega Persada Tbk it is 485.33 IDR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 555.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Energi Mega Persada Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ENRG trades above its calculated fair value: price 555.00 IDR, fair value 485.33 IDR, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ENRG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (555.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (485.33 IDR). For Energi Mega Persada Tbk the two are 69.67 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Energi Mega Persada Tbk worth?
The market values Energi Mega Persada Tbk at about 25.7T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 555.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 485.33 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ENRG?
Our models span a range for Energi Mega Persada Tbk: cautious scenario 322.17 IDR, base 485.33 IDR, optimistic 696.44 IDR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 555.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ENRG?
Energi Mega Persada Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 485.33 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 1.6, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
What is the PEG ratio of ENRG?
The PEG ratio of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 0.15 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Energi Mega Persada Tbk (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 12.8%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ENRG from its 52-week high?
Energi Mega Persada Tbk trades at 555.00 IDR, about 75% below its 52-week high of 2,200 IDR and 1% above the low of 550.00 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 485.33 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Energi Mega Persada Tbk?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Energi Mega Persada Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 555.00 IDR, calculated fair value 485.33 IDR (−13%), Quality Score 39/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ENRG calculated?
We run Energi Mega Persada Tbk through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 485.33 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Energi Mega Persada Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 555.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 485.33 IDR, about 13% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Energi Mega Persada Tbk right now?
A fairly wide model range (322.17 IDR to 696.44 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Energi Mega Persada Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The market capitalisation of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 25.7T IDR (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 2.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Earnings per share at Energi Mega Persada Tbk are 41.25 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The net margin of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 18.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The operating margin of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 38.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Revenue at Energi Mega Persada Tbk is growing +20.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Earnings per share at Energi Mega Persada Tbk are growing +42.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) carry?
The net debt of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is $430M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026