Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Energi Mega Persada Tbk IDR 662, price IDR 1,310, upside -49.5%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 98.00 IDR – 2,200 IDR · fair‑value band 437.82 IDR – 931.75 IDR · the 1,310 IDR price screens above the 662.16 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk, through its subsidiaries, operates as an upstream oil and natural gas company in Indonesia, Mozambique, and Japan. It engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) currently trades at 1,310 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 662.16 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 97.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 827.70 IDR per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the 1,310 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 331.08 IDR, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 437.82 IDR (bear) to 931.75 IDR (bull), the price of 1,310 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Energi Mega Persada Tbk reported revenue of $492M in FY2025 versus $406M in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $90.4M in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 43.8T IDR (≈ $2.4B) · P/E ratio 24.1 · P/S ratio 4.43 · EPS (TTM) 54.33 IDR · Net margin 18.4% · Return on equity 12.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% · Operating margin 38.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −49%, ENRG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 437.82 IDRFair Value 662.16 IDRBull 931.75 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (39.89 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.4% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs −6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.34% → 31%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 18.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.7% a year for the price.
Compare Energi Mega Persada Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 308 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside−50% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)38% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)24.1× · Pricier than median
P/B2.73× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.73× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF41.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA10.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.15× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)85· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)49· sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)87· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 72
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Energi Mega Persada Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENRG
Frequently asked questions
Is Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 662.16 IDR versus a price of 1,310 IDR, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ENRG?
Our model-based fair value for Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 662.16 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,310 IDR.
What is the quality score of ENRG?
Energi Mega Persada Tbk has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 662.16 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 437.82 IDR, optimistic scenario 931.75 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Energi Mega Persada Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 662.16 IDR, about −49% upside versus a price of 1,310 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 437.82 IDR, optimistic scenario 931.75 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Energi Mega Persada Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $518M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Energi Mega Persada Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +22.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ENRG use?
Our models discount Energi Mega Persada Tbk at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Energi Mega Persada Tbk that is +22.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Energi Mega Persada Tbk grew +8.7 % a year. The price currently implies +22.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Energi Mega Persada Tbk (+22.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.19 %: that much free cash flow Energi Mega Persada Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Energi Mega Persada Tbk it is 662.16 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,310 IDR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Energi Mega Persada Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ENRG trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,310 IDR, fair value 662.16 IDR, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ENRG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,310 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (662.16 IDR). For Energi Mega Persada Tbk the two are 647.84 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Energi Mega Persada Tbk worth?
The market values Energi Mega Persada Tbk at about 43.8T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,310 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 662.16 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ENRG?
Our models span a range for Energi Mega Persada Tbk: cautious scenario 437.82 IDR, base 662.16 IDR, optimistic 931.75 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,310 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ENRG?
Energi Mega Persada Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 662.16 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 2.7, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 10.6.
What is the PEG ratio of ENRG?
The PEG ratio of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 0.15 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Energi Mega Persada Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.1%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ENRG from its 52-week high?
Energi Mega Persada Tbk trades at 1,310 IDR, about 40% below its 52-week high of 2,200 IDR and 79% above the low of 730.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 662.16 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Energi Mega Persada Tbk?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Energi Mega Persada Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,310 IDR, calculated fair value 662.16 IDR (−49%), Quality Score 50/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ENRG calculated?
We run Energi Mega Persada Tbk through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 662.16 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Energi Mega Persada Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1,310 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 662.16 IDR, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Energi Mega Persada Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (931.75 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (437.82 IDR to 931.75 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Energi Mega Persada Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The market capitalisation of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 43.8T IDR (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 4.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Earnings per share at Energi Mega Persada Tbk are 54.33 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The net margin of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 18.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 12.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
The operating margin of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is 38.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Revenue at Energi Mega Persada Tbk is growing +17.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG)?
Earnings per share at Energi Mega Persada Tbk are growing −3.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) carry?
The net debt of Energi Mega Persada Tbk is $430M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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