Gurktaler AG (GAGS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Gurktaler AG stock €9.82, price €16.00, that is 38.6% below the price, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.94 – €24.55 · fair‑value band €9.31 – €11.01 · the €16.00 price screens above the €9.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Gurktaler produces and distributes herbal spirits in Austria. The company was founded in 1897 and is based in Vienna, Austria.
Stock analysis
Gurktaler AG (GAGS) currently trades at €16.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €9.82, 39% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of €82.44 per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the €16.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.77, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €9.31 (bear) to €11.01 (bull), the price of €16.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Gurktaler AG ST reported revenue of €2.6M in FY2026 versus €433K in FY2022, a compound +56.1%/yr. Reported net income was €1.8M in FY2026, compounding +6.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap €33.7M Micro · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 13.1 · EPS (TTM) €0.8400 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 68.6% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at −39%, GAGS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€9.31Fair Value €9.82Bull€11.01
Price €16.00 · Downside -38.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1466 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.2% vs 2.6%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.313% → −35%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Brewers · 55 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Below median
Fair Value upside−38.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.2% · Below median
Return on assets7.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)68.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−15.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−25.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)3.8% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)19.0× · Pricier than median
P/B1.38× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)13.09× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 13
PAST (return on equity)29· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)75· sector 62
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gurktaler AG ST Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GAGS
Frequently asked questions
Is Gurktaler AG (GAGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €9.82 versus a price of €16.00, about 39% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GAGS?
Our model-based fair value for Gurktaler AG is €9.82 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €16.00.
What is the quality score of GAGS?
Gurktaler AG has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €9.82 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €9.31, optimistic scenario €11.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gurktaler AG ST stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €9.82, about 39% lower versus a price of €16.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €9.31, optimistic scenario €11.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
Gurktaler AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Gurktaler AG ST pay a dividend?
Gurktaler AG currently shows a dividend yield of 3.75% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Gurktaler AG (GAGS) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Gurktaler AG pays a dividend of €0.6 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 21, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2016. The payout ratio is 71.4% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gurktaler AG it is €9.82 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of €16.00. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Gurktaler AG ST stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, GAGS trades above its calculated fair value: price €16.00, fair value €9.82, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GAGS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€16.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€9.82). For Gurktaler AG the two are €6.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gurktaler AG ST worth?
The market values Gurktaler AG at about €33.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is €16.00; our models calculate a fair value of €9.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GAGS?
Our models span a range for Gurktaler AG: cautious scenario €9.31, base €9.82, optimistic €11.01 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price €16.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GAGS?
Gurktaler AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €9.82 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 11.7. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 13.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gurktaler AG (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 7.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GAGS from its 52-week high?
Gurktaler AG trades at €16.00, about 10% below its 52-week high of €17.85 and 10% above the low of €14.57 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €9.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gurktaler AG ST?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Anheuser-Busch InBev SA, Heineken N.V, Constellation Brands, Inc, Heineken Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gurktaler AG ST stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price €16.00, calculated fair value €9.82 (−39%), Quality Score 60/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GAGS calculated?
We run Gurktaler AG through 10 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €9.82 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Gurktaler AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was €16.00. Our model-based fair value is €9.82, about 39% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gurktaler AG ST right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€11.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Gurktaler AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
The market capitalisation of Gurktaler AG is €33.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gurktaler AG is 13.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
Earnings per share at Gurktaler AG are €0.8400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
The dividend yield of Gurktaler AG is 3.8% (payout 71.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
The net margin of Gurktaler AG is 68.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gurktaler AG is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gurktaler AG is −2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
The operating margin of Gurktaler AG is −15.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
Revenue at Gurktaler AG is growing −25.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gurktaler AG (GAGS)?
Earnings per share at Gurktaler AG are growing −19.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gurktaler AG (GAGS) generate?
The free cash flow of Gurktaler AG is −€600K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Gurktaler AG (GAGS) hold?
Gurktaler AG holds more cash than debt, €27.2K net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 7, 2026