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Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft (GAGS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · AT · Market cap €36.2M

GA Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft GAGS · VI
Price€16.30
Fair Value€15.86
Upside-2.7%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 55.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.23% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range €11.89 – €19.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −11.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from €11.89 (bear) to €19.82 (bull), base €15.86. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€25.45 €5.12 Fair Value €15.86 May 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €5.12 – €25.45 · fair‑value band €11.89 – €19.82 · the €16.30 price screens above the €15.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft (GAGS) currently trades at €16.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €15.86, implying the stock looks roughly 2.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft generated revenue of €3.2M at a net margin of 55.9%. Revenue declined 47.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 17.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €11.89 (bear case) to €19.82 (bull case); at €16.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at -3%, GAGS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €8.86 €9.26 €9.35 76
Gordon GGM €41.10 €68.83 €89.34 70
Growth-Adj P/E €29.89 €42.70 €55.51 68
All 11 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €6.34 €44.23 €62.07 54
Lynch FV €22.85 €32.64 €42.44 50
PEG = 1.0 €22.85 €32.64 €42.44 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €41.10 €68.83 €89.34 70
DDM Multi-Stage €41.10 €65.29 €74.05 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €14.69 €19.59 €24.48 63
P/S Multiple €2.22 €2.96 €3.70 58
P/B Multiple €11.89 €15.86 €19.82 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €5.82 €7.80 €11.64 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €8.86 €9.26 €9.35 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €29.89 €42.70 €55.51 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (€65.29) versus Asset-Based (€7.80). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €3.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -47.3%
Net margin 55.9%
Return on equity 8.0%
P/E ratio 17.0
Operating margin -80.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €1.00
Dividend yield 5.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +423%
Net debt €930K FY2018

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft produces and distributes herbal spirits in Austria. The company was founded in 1897 and is based in Vienna, Austria.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €3.9M in FY2025 versus €841K in FY2021, a compound +46.7%/yr. Reported net income was €2.0M in FY2025, compounding −12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€3.9M
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+108.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.5%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.0%
Revenue +46.7%/yr
FY21 €841K
FY22 €433K
FY23 €446K
FY24 €3.8M
FY25 €3.9M
Net income −12.3%/yr
FY21 €3.3M
FY22 €1.4M
FY23 €2.0M
FY24 €3.6M
FY25 €2.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GAGS

Peer Group

Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Below median
Fair Value upside −3% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 56% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -80% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -47% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 13.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 30 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 3
PAST 32 · sector 36
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 54

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI €73.62 €41.60 -43%
Ambev S.A ABEV 14,120 ARS 6,060 ARS -57%
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD 222.91 MXN 201.74 MXN -9%
Heineken N.V HEIA €77.24 €65.06 -16%
Constellation Brands, Inc STZ $135.72 $177.43 +31%
Carlsberg A/S CARLA kr 1,125 kr 607.30 -46%
Heineken Holding HEIO €71.20 €72.67 +2%
Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 ¥53.60 ¥63.65 +19%
Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 HK$6.58 HK$6.05 -8%
Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA C$63.10 C$74.42 +18%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft (GAGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €15.86 versus a price of €16.30, about −3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GAGS?
Our model-based fair value for Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft is €15.86 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €16.30.
What is the quality score of GAGS?
Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft (GAGS)?
Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GAGS?
The net profit margin of Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft is about 55.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 55.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft pay a dividend?
Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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