Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited stock ₹643, price ₹387, upside +66.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited
HINDPETRO · NSEThe stock costs 40% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹115.35 – ₹499.05 · fair‑value band ₹452.08 – ₹803.71 · the ₹387.15 price screens below the ₹642.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Company profile
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the refining and marketing of petroleum products in India and internationally. It operates through Downstream Petroleum and All Other segments.
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The company offers light distillates, including liquefied petroleum gas, motor spirits, naphtha, hexane, propylene, and solvents; and middle distillates, such as high-speed diesel, superior kerosene oil, light diesel oil, aviation turbine fuels, mineral turpentine oil, jute batching oil, and lube and turbine oil base stocks.
It also provides heavy distillates, including bitumen, furnace oil, and low sulphur heavy stock; and compressed natural gas, lubes and greases, biofuel blended fuels, and petrochemicals.
In addition, the company engages in the exploration and production of hydrocarbons; provision of management services for exploration and production blocks; manufacture of ethanol and sugar; generation of power from bagasse; trading in refined oil products; operation and maintenance of liquefied natural gas regasification terminals; production and distribution of green energy from wind and solar power plants; retail through petroleum pumps; distribution of LPG products; direct sales; and operation of natural gas pipelines, EV charging stations, and battery swapping facilities.
It exports its products. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India. Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited is a subsidiary of Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited.
Stock analysis
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) currently trades at ₹387.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹642.97, implying the stock looks roughly 40% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹1,456 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹387.15 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹181.48, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹452.08 (bear) to ₹803.71 (bull), the price of ₹387.15 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited reported revenue of ₹4.4T in FY2026 versus ₹3.5T in FY2022, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹180B in FY2026, compounding +25.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹824B (≈ $8.8B) Mid · P/E ratio 57.4 · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) ₹6.75 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 66%, HINDPETRO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Return on assets by industry
- Fair value gap by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹146.25 | ₹245.43 | +68% | vs HINDPETRO |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹319.90 | ₹434.58 | +36% | vs HINDPETRO |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 109,400 KRW | 134,361 KRW | +23% | vs HINDPETRO |
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,320 | ₹865.31 | −34% | vs HINDPETRO |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $97.18 | $52.92 | −46% | vs HINDPETRO |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €27.45 | €11.70 | −57% | vs HINDPETRO |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 88.40 TWD | 35.53 TWD | −60% | vs HINDPETRO |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $346.45 | $131.30 | −62% | vs HINDPETRO |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $245.72 | $86.38 | −65% | vs HINDPETRO |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $372.74 | $113.66 | −70% | vs HINDPETRO |
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Key figures of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited
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