InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of InPlay Oil Corp stock C$15.28, price C$17.56, that is 13.0% below the price, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$3.73 – C$21.47 · fair‑value band C$9.72 – C$20.84 · the C$17.56 price screens above the C$15.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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InPlay Oil Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas properties in Canada. The company produces and sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It focuses on light oil asset base located in West Central, Alberta.
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The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) currently trades at C$17.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$15.28, 13% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at medium.
Scenario range: C$9.72 (bear) to C$20.84 (bull), the price of C$17.56 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
InPlay Oil Corp reported revenue of C$252M in FY2025 versus C$114M in FY2021, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was −C$7.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$486M (≈ $345M) Small · P/S ratio 1.79 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.4400 · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin −4.2% · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 30.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −13%, IPO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearC$9.72Fair Value C$15.28BullC$20.84
Price C$17.56 · Downside -13.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDAC$11.44C$17.98C$24.5266
NCAV (Graham)C$6.69C$8.97C$13.3854
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDAC$11.44C$17.98C$24.5266
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)C$6.69C$8.97C$13.3854
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+63.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.9% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−25.1% (2020) → 4.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−13.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−4.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)30.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)28.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)6.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.60× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
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Is InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$15.28 versus a price of C$17.56, about 13% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IPO?
Our model-based fair value for InPlay Oil Corp is C$15.28 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$17.56.
What is the quality score of IPO?
InPlay Oil Corp has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$15.28 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$9.72, optimistic scenario C$20.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the InPlay Oil Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$15.28, about 13% lower versus a price of C$17.56 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$9.72, optimistic scenario C$20.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
InPlay Oil Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$318M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does InPlay Oil Corp pay a dividend?
InPlay Oil Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 6.15% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
InPlay Oil Corp pays a dividend of C$1.08 per share a year, a dividend yield of 6.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 15, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For InPlay Oil Corp it is C$15.28 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of C$17.56. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is InPlay Oil Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, IPO trades above its calculated fair value: price C$17.56, fair value C$15.28, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IPO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$17.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$15.28). For InPlay Oil Corp the two are C$2.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is InPlay Oil Corp worth?
The market values InPlay Oil Corp at about C$486M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is C$17.56; our models calculate a fair value of C$15.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IPO?
Our models span a range for InPlay Oil Corp: cautious scenario C$9.72, base C$15.28, optimistic C$20.84 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price C$17.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Balance-sheet figures for InPlay Oil Corp (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −3.7%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IPO from its 52-week high?
InPlay Oil Corp trades at C$17.56, about 15% below its 52-week high of C$20.67 and 52% above the low of C$11.52 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$15.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to InPlay Oil Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is InPlay Oil Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price C$17.56, calculated fair value C$15.28 (−13%), Quality Score 27/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IPO calculated?
We run InPlay Oil Corp through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$15.28 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. InPlay Oil Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was C$17.56. Our model-based fair value is C$15.28, about 13% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with InPlay Oil Corp right now?
A fairly wide model range (C$9.72 to C$20.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of InPlay Oil Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The market capitalisation of InPlay Oil Corp is C$486M (≈ $345M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of InPlay Oil Corp is 1.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Earnings per share at InPlay Oil Corp are C$−0.4400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The dividend yield of InPlay Oil Corp is 6.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The net margin of InPlay Oil Corp is −4.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of InPlay Oil Corp is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of InPlay Oil Corp is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The operating margin of InPlay Oil Corp is 30.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Revenue at InPlay Oil Corp is growing +28.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Earnings per share at InPlay Oil Corp are growing −22.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) generate?
The free cash flow of InPlay Oil Corp is −C$172M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) carry?
The net debt of InPlay Oil Corp is C$226M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 9, 2026