InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of InPlay Oil Corp C$15.28, price C$16.62, upside -8.0%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$3.73 – C$21.47 · fair‑value band C$9.72 – C$20.84 · the C$16.62 price screens above the C$15.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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InPlay Oil Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas properties in Canada. The company produces and sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It focuses on light oil asset base located in West Central, Alberta. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) currently trades at C$16.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$15.28, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of C$18.11 per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the C$16.62 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$8.97, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: C$9.72 (bear) to C$20.84 (bull), the price of C$16.62 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
InPlay Oil Corp reported revenue of C$252M in FY2025 versus C$114M in FY2021, a compound +22.0%/yr. Reported net income was −C$7.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$489M (≈ $346M) · P/S ratio 1.47 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.4500 · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin −3.1% · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% · Operating margin 30.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −8%, IPO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$9.72Fair Value C$15.28Bull C$20.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+63.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.9% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−25.1% (2020) → 4.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 306 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)31% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth29% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.60× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
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Is InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$15.28 versus a price of C$16.62, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IPO?
Our model-based fair value for InPlay Oil Corp is C$15.28 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$16.62.
What is the quality score of IPO?
InPlay Oil Corp has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$15.28 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$9.72, optimistic scenario C$20.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the InPlay Oil Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$15.28, about −8% upside versus a price of C$16.62 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$9.72, optimistic scenario C$20.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
InPlay Oil Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$318M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does InPlay Oil Corp pay a dividend?
InPlay Oil Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.50% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For InPlay Oil Corp it is C$15.28 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$16.62. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is InPlay Oil Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, IPO trades above its calculated fair value: price C$16.62, fair value C$15.28, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IPO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$16.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$15.28). For InPlay Oil Corp the two are C$1.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is InPlay Oil Corp worth?
The market values InPlay Oil Corp at about C$489M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$16.62; our models calculate a fair value of C$15.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IPO?
Our models span a range for InPlay Oil Corp: cautious scenario C$9.72, base C$15.28, optimistic C$20.84 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$16.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Balance-sheet figures for InPlay Oil Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.7%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IPO from its 52-week high?
InPlay Oil Corp trades at C$16.62, about 10% below its 52-week high of C$18.42 and 55% above the low of C$10.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$15.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to InPlay Oil Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is InPlay Oil Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$16.62, calculated fair value C$15.28 (−8%), Quality Score 27/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IPO calculated?
We run InPlay Oil Corp through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$15.28, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. InPlay Oil Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$16.62. Our model-based fair value is C$15.28, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with InPlay Oil Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (C$9.72 to C$20.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of InPlay Oil Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The market capitalisation of InPlay Oil Corp is C$489M (≈ $346M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of InPlay Oil Corp is 1.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Earnings per share at InPlay Oil Corp are C$−0.4500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The dividend yield of InPlay Oil Corp is 6.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The net margin of InPlay Oil Corp is −3.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of InPlay Oil Corp is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of InPlay Oil Corp is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
The operating margin of InPlay Oil Corp is 30.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Revenue at InPlay Oil Corp is growing +28.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at InPlay Oil Corp (IPO)?
Earnings per share at InPlay Oil Corp are growing −22.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) generate?
The free cash flow of InPlay Oil Corp is −C$172M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does InPlay Oil Corp (IPO) carry?
The net debt of InPlay Oil Corp is C$226M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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