Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mohawk Industries Inc stock $115, price $157, that is 26.8% below the price, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $76.56 – $209.80 · fair‑value band $73.07 – $150.17 · the $156.60 price screens above the $114.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.
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Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally.
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It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World.
The company provides ceramic, porcelain, and natural stone tiles products for floor and wall applications; natural stones, porcelain slabs, and quartz countertops, as well as installation materials; floor covering products comprising broadloom carpets, carpet tiles, rugs and mats, carpet pads, laminates, medium-density fiberboards, wood floorings, vinyl tiles, hybrid flooring, and sheet vinyl; and roofing panels, insulation boards, mezzanine flooring products, medium-density fiberboard, decorative panels, and chipboards.
It also licenses its intellectual property to flooring manufacturers.
The company sells its products under the American Olean, Daltile, Decortiles, Durkan, Eliane, Elizabeth, Feltex, Godfrey Hirst, IVC Home, Karastan, Kerama Marazzi, Marazzi, Moduleo, Mohawk, Pergo, Quick-Step, Unilin, Vitromex, GH Commercial, Hycraft, Lentex Flooring, Leoline, Redbook, EmilGroup, KAI, Ragno, Aladdin Commercial, Durkan, Foss, IVC Resilient Design, Mohawk Group, Mohawk Home, and Portico.
It offers its products to home centers, company-owned service centers and stores, floor covering retailers, ceramic tile specialists, e-commerce retailers, residential builders, independent distributors, commercial contractors, and commercial end users.
The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Calhoun, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) currently trades at $156.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $114.64, 27% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $116.50 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the $156.60 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $37.69, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $73.07 (bear) to $150.17 (bull), the price of $156.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Mohawk Industries Inc reported revenue of $10.8B in FY2025 versus $11.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was $370M in FY2025, compounding −22.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.5B Mid · P/E ratio 19.3 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) $8.10 · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −27%, MHK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$73.07Fair Value $114.64Bull$150.17
Price $156.60 · Downside -26.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($6.97 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 4 officers or directors sold shares worth $28.2M and none bought.
SaleMauro VandiniPresident of Global Ceramic5,000 shares at $155.73$778,650Nov 9, 2026
SaleSuzanne L HelenPossible Member of Group18× since Nov 13, 2025: 82,192 shares, avg. $113.46$9.3MNov 3, 2026
SaleJeffrey S LorberbaumDirector, 10% owner7× since Mar 18, 2026: 184,178 shares, avg. $129.42$23.8MNov 3, 2026
SaleBernard ThiersDirector2× since Aug 5, 2026: 28,393 shares, avg. $139.77$4.0MNov 2, 2026
SaleDavid Lee ReppSVP-CAO & CORPORATE CONTROLLER225 shares at $130.59$29,383Aug 3, 2026
SaleJames BrunkChief Financial Officer4,175 shares at $125.59$524,338Feb 27, 2026
Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10.5% vs −3.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.5% a year for the price and −0.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: Limited pricing power shown by low returns and margins stands as the central weakness, while restructuring under new international leadership offers the main potential strength.
Main risk: Shaw Industries as a major US rival backed by Berkshire Hathaway along with lower-cost LVT imports from Asia could capture share or force price reductions in North American resilient and hard surface categories.
Bull case: By expanding domestic manufacturing capacity and product innovation Mohawk could gain share from imports and rivals while meeting demand for reliable US-made flooring.
Bear case: If Shaw and Asian suppliers increase their penetration Mohawk might face sustained volume losses and margin compression across its resilient and carpet lines.
Mohawk is implementing a price increase of up to 7 percent across all product categories starting in January 2027 to counter persistent inflation in raw materials, energy and labor. Residential flooring demand stays soft amid housing weakness, even as the company pushes restructuring and hands the CEO role to an executive with deep international experience. Our models see the shares as overvalued. Will the pricing power and new leadership stabilize earnings or force further volume concessions?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 296 stocks
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Is Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $114.64 versus a price of $156.60, about 27% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MHK?
Our model-based fair value for Mohawk Industries Inc is $114.64 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $156.60.
What is the quality score of MHK?
Mohawk Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $114.64 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $73.07, optimistic scenario $150.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mohawk Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $114.64, about 27% lower versus a price of $156.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $73.07, optimistic scenario $150.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
Mohawk Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mohawk Industries Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +8.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.5 % per year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MHK use?
Our models discount Mohawk Industries Inc at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.17, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mohawk Industries Inc that is +8.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mohawk Industries Inc grew +2.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +8.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mohawk Industries Inc (+8.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.46 %: that much free cash flow Mohawk Industries Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mohawk Industries Inc it is $114.64 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $156.60. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Mohawk Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, MHK trades above its calculated fair value: price $156.60, fair value $114.64, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MHK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($156.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($114.64). For Mohawk Industries Inc the two are $41.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mohawk Industries Inc worth?
The market values Mohawk Industries Inc at about $9.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $156.60; our models calculate a fair value of $114.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MHK?
Our models span a range for Mohawk Industries Inc: cautious scenario $73.07, base $114.64, optimistic $150.17 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $156.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MHK?
Mohawk Industries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.3 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $114.64 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 16.0. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 1.1, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
What is the PEG ratio of MHK?
The PEG ratio of Mohawk Industries Inc is 0.64 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mohawk Industries Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 5.5%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MHK from its 52-week high?
Mohawk Industries Inc trades at $156.60, at its 52-week high of $156.60 and 66% above the low of $94.33 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $114.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mohawk Industries Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, SharkNinja, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mohawk Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $156.60, calculated fair value $114.64 (−27%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MHK calculated?
We run Mohawk Industries Inc through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $114.64 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Mohawk Industries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was $156.60. Our model-based fair value is $114.64, about 27% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mohawk Industries Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($150.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($73.07 to $150.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) come from?
Earnings per share at Mohawk Industries Inc grew −2.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.6 %, EBIT margin −7.5 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Mohawk Industries Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
The market capitalisation of Mohawk Industries Inc is $9.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mohawk Industries Inc is 0.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
Earnings per share at Mohawk Industries Inc are $8.10 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
The net margin of Mohawk Industries Inc is 4.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mohawk Industries Inc is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mohawk Industries Inc is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
The operating margin of Mohawk Industries Inc is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
Revenue at Mohawk Industries Inc is growing +6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK)?
Earnings per share at Mohawk Industries Inc are growing +37.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mohawk Industries Inc (MHK) carry?
The net debt of Mohawk Industries Inc is $1.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 10, 2026