Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Magyar Telekom PLC stock HUF 3,351, price HUF 2,876, upside +16.5%, quality 80 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM) currently trades at 2,876 HUF, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,351 HUF, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 4,440 HUF per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the 2,876 HUF price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1,168 HUF, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2,264 HUF (bear) to 4,643 HUF (bull), the price of 2,876 HUF sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Magyar Telekom PLC reported revenue of 984B HUF in FY2025 versus 747B HUF in FY2022, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 208B HUF in FY2025, compounding +49.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5T HUF (≈ $7.8B) Mid · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 21.2% · Return on equity 2,465% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.3% · Free cash flow 244B HUF · Net debt 113B HUF.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 80 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 17%, MTELEKOM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2,264 HUFFair Value 3,351 HUFBull4,643 HUF
Price 2,876 HUF · Upside +16.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in HUF (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in HUF: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+63.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+58.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 28%
2025 sits 177% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hungary: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 5.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Telecommunications Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Communication Services · 1084 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,351 HUF versus a price of 2,876 HUF, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MTELEKOM?
Our model-based fair value for Magyar Telekom PLC is 3,351 HUF (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,876 HUF.
What is the quality score of MTELEKOM?
Magyar Telekom PLC has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3,351 HUF (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,264 HUF, optimistic scenario 4,643 HUF. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Magyar Telekom PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3,351 HUF, about +17% upside versus a price of 2,876 HUF (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2,264 HUF, optimistic scenario 4,643 HUF. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Magyar Telekom PLC pay a dividend?
Magyar Telekom PLC currently shows a dividend yield of 5.25% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Magyar Telekom PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +3.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +9.6 % per year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MTELEKOM use?
Our models discount Magyar Telekom PLC at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Hungary. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Magyar Telekom PLC that is +3.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Magyar Telekom PLC grew +9.6 % a year. The price currently implies +3.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Magyar Telekom PLC (+3.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.58 %: that much free cash flow Magyar Telekom PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Magyar Telekom PLC it is 3,351 HUF per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of 2,876 HUF. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Magyar Telekom PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, MTELEKOM trades below its calculated fair value: price 2,876 HUF, fair value 3,351 HUF, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTELEKOM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,876 HUF); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3,351 HUF). For Magyar Telekom PLC the two are 475.00 HUF per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Magyar Telekom PLC worth?
The market values Magyar Telekom PLC at about 2.5T HUF (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is 2,876 HUF; our models calculate a fair value of 3,351 HUF per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTELEKOM?
Our models span a range for Magyar Telekom PLC: cautious scenario 2,264 HUF, base 3,351 HUF, optimistic 4,643 HUF per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price 2,876 HUF). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Magyar Telekom PLC (as of Nov 1, 2026): debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 80/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Magyar Telekom PLC?
From the same area (Technology) we also value GLO, CNVRG, NVIDIA Corporation, Microsoft Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Magyar Telekom PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price 2,876 HUF, calculated fair value 3,351 HUF (+17%), Quality Score 80/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTELEKOM calculated?
We run Magyar Telekom PLC through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3,351 HUF, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Magyar Telekom PLC currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
The closing price on Nov 2, 2026 was 2,876 HUF. Our model-based fair value is 3,351 HUF, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Magyar Telekom PLC right now?
A fairly wide model range (2,264 HUF to 4,643 HUF) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Magyar Telekom PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
The market capitalisation of Magyar Telekom PLC is 2.5T HUF (≈ $7.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the dividend yield of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
The dividend yield of Magyar Telekom PLC is 5.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
The net margin of Magyar Telekom PLC is 21.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Magyar Telekom PLC is 2,465% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Magyar Telekom PLC is 12.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does Magyar Telekom PLC (MTELEKOM) carry?
The net debt of Magyar Telekom PLC is 113B HUF (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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