Nextcom (NXTM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nextcom stock ILS 6.35, price ILS 9.20, that is 31.0% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.37 ILS – 15.86 ILS · fair‑value band 4.98 ILS – 9.15 ILS · the 9.20 ILS price screens above the 6.35 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Nextcom Ltd. operates in the communications infrastructure and renewable energy sectors in Israel and internationally.
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It provides renewable energy services and solutions, including comprehensive planning, construction, and operational and maintenance services for solar energy, wind energy, and biogas facility projects.
The company also provides telecom and multimedia solutions, such as infrastructure, data systems, data infrastructure, wireless networks, access networks, and multimedia. In addition, it offers conversion, transport, and distribution services for natural gases.
Further, the company provides infrastructure and engineering facilities, comprising water infrastructure, landscape development, roads, sewage and drainage infrastructure, low voltage systems, and electrical systems.
Additionally, it serves in enterprise, small to medium businesses, small and home offices, communication companies, security sector, government, municipal, medical centers, kibbutz communities, fitness centers, hotels, retail chains, senior citizens, industry, and developers and contractors.
Nextcom Ltd. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Jezreel Valley, Israel.
Stock analysis
Nextcom (NXTM) currently trades at 9.20 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.35 ILS, 31% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 15.17 ILS per share, and 7 of the 13 models we run sit above the 9.20 ILS price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2.51 ILS, and 6 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 4.98 ILS (bear) to 9.15 ILS (bull), the price of 9.20 ILS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Nextcom reported revenue of 437M ILS in FY2025 versus 517M ILS in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −5.9M ILS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 138M ILS Micro · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) −0.0700 ILS · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin −0.3% · Return on equity −0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 51% fair-value upside, at −31%, NXTM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear4.98 ILSFair Value 6.35 ILSBull9.15 ILS
Price 9.20 ILS · Downside -31.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.1% (2020) → 2.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 234 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−31.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−0.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)3.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)7.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.61× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.30× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)9.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA7.8× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)39· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)70· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)46· sector 72
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nextcom Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXTM
Frequently asked questions
Is Nextcom (NXTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.35 ILS versus a price of 9.20 ILS, about 31% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NXTM?
Our model-based fair value for Nextcom is 6.35 ILS (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9.20 ILS.
What is the quality score of NXTM?
Nextcom has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nextcom (NXTM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6.35 ILS (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.98 ILS, optimistic scenario 9.15 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nextcom stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 6.35 ILS, about 31% lower versus a price of 9.20 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4.98 ILS, optimistic scenario 9.15 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nextcom (NXTM)?
Nextcom reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 460M ILS (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Nextcom pay a dividend?
Nextcom currently shows a dividend yield of 2.31% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Nextcom (NXTM)?
Nextcom has a dividend yield of 2.3%.
What growth is priced into Nextcom (NXTM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nextcom would have to grow free cash flow by -1.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NXTM use?
Our models discount Nextcom at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nextcom that is -1.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nextcom (NXTM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nextcom grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -1.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nextcom (NXTM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nextcom (-1.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.45 %: that much free cash flow Nextcom produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nextcom (NXTM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nextcom it is 6.35 ILS per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 9.20 ILS. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Nextcom stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, NXTM trades above its calculated fair value: price 9.20 ILS, fair value 6.35 ILS, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXTM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (9.20 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6.35 ILS). For Nextcom the two are 2.85 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nextcom worth?
The market values Nextcom at about 138M ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 9.20 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 6.35 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXTM?
Our models span a range for Nextcom: cautious scenario 4.98 ILS, base 6.35 ILS, optimistic 9.15 ILS per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 9.20 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nextcom (NXTM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nextcom (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −0.9%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NXTM from its 52-week high?
Nextcom trades at 9.20 ILS, about 42% below its 52-week high of 15.86 ILS and 38% above the low of 6.65 ILS (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6.35 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nextcom?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nextcom stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 9.20 ILS, calculated fair value 6.35 ILS (−31%), Quality Score 47/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXTM calculated?
We run Nextcom through 13 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 6.35 ILS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Nextcom itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 9.20 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 6.35 ILS, about 31% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nextcom right now?
Weak quality (47/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (4.98 ILS to 9.15 ILS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Nextcom (NXTM) come from?
Earnings per share at Nextcom grew +9.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.3 %, EBIT margin +1.6 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nextcom
How large is the market capitalisation of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The market capitalisation of Nextcom is 138M ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nextcom is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nextcom (NXTM)?
Earnings per share at Nextcom are −0.0700 ILS. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The dividend yield of Nextcom is 2.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The net margin of Nextcom is −0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nextcom is −0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nextcom (NXTM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nextcom is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The operating margin of Nextcom is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nextcom (NXTM)?
Revenue at Nextcom is growing +7.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nextcom (NXTM)?
Earnings per share at Nextcom are growing −90.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nextcom (NXTM) carry?
The net debt of Nextcom is 45.3M ILS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 9, 2026