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Nextcom (NXTM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nextcom ILS 8.50, price ILS 12.04, upside -29.4%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · Il · ISIN IL0010957855

N Some data Sep 23, 2026

Nextcom

NXTM · TA

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 8.50 ILA · Overvalued (−29%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

15.86 ILA 4.37 ILA Fair Value 8.50 ILA May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.37 ILA – 15.86 ILA · fair‑value band 5.63 ILA – 11.38 ILA · the 12.04 ILA price screens above the 8.50 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Nextcom Ltd. operates in the communications infrastructure and renewable energy sectors in Israel and internationally. It provides renewable energy services and solutions, including comprehensive planning, construction, and operational and maintenance services for solar energy, wind energy, and biogas facility projects.

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Nextcom Ltd. operates in the communications infrastructure and renewable energy sectors in Israel and internationally. It provides renewable energy services and solutions, including comprehensive planning, construction, and operational and maintenance services for solar energy, wind energy, and biogas facility projects. The company also provides telecom and multimedia solutions, such as infrastructure, data systems, data infrastructure, wireless networks, access networks, and multimedia. In addition, it offers conversion, transport, and distribution services for natural gases. Further, the company provides infrastructure and engineering facilities, comprising water infrastructure, landscape development, roads, sewage and drainage infrastructure, low voltage systems, and electrical systems. Additionally, it serves in enterprise, small to medium businesses, small and home offices, communication companies, security sector, government, municipal, medical centers, kibbutz communities, fitness centers, hotels, retail chains, senior citizens, industry, and developers and contractors. Nextcom Ltd. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Jezreel Valley, Israel.

Stock analysis

Nextcom (NXTM) currently trades at 12.04 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.50 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 41.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 14.21 ILA per share, and 6 of the 15 models we run sit above the 12.04 ILA price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 2.21 ILA, and 9 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 5.63 ILA (bear) to 11.38 ILA (bull), the price of 12.04 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Nextcom reported revenue of 437M ILS in FY2025 versus 517M ILS in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −5.9M ILS in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 227M ILA · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) −0.5200 ILA · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin −1.4% · Return on equity −5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 2.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −29%, NXTM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5.63 ILA Fair Value 8.50 ILA Bull 11.38 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 11.80 ILA 15.39 ILA 19.58 ILA 80
Growth DCF 11.92 ILA 15.15 ILA 18.74 ILA 78
5Y EBITDA Exit 10.24 ILA 14.50 ILA 19.19 ILA 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 11.80 ILA 15.39 ILA 19.58 ILA 80
5Y Revenue Exit 8.73 ILA 11.81 ILA 15.49 ILA 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 10.24 ILA 14.50 ILA 19.19 ILA 74
10Y Revenue Exit 9.89 ILA 12.65 ILA 15.89 ILA 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 10.84 ILA 14.21 ILA 18.20 ILA 67
Earnings-Based
EPV 4.48 ILA 5.00 ILA 5.43 ILA 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.62 ILA 2.46 ILA 3.23 ILA 66
DDM Multi-Stage 1.62 ILA 2.21 ILA 2.74 ILA 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT 8.74 ILA 11.62 ILA 14.50 ILA 66
EV/EBITDA 10.27 ILA 13.66 ILA 17.05 ILA 67
EV/Revenue 6.65 ILA 9.46 ILA 12.27 ILA 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.25 ILA 5.70 ILA 8.51 ILA 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11.92 ILA 15.15 ILA 18.74 ILA 78
Rev-Margin DCF 8.73 ILA 12.04 ILA 15.69 ILA 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 4.48 ILA 5.00 ILA 5.43 ILA 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.1% (2020) → 2.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.8% a year for the price.

NXTM screens 42% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 250 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.58× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 4.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)67 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)31 · sector 76

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 80941 HK$67.45 HK$114.85 +70%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $165.66 $270.48 +63%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $46.52 $69.92 +50%
AT&T Inc T $25.10 $50.40 +101%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,833 ₹1,883 +3%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.10 ¥8.36 +37%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $22.08 $32.49 +47%
Saudi Telecom Company 7010 43.66 SAR 41.80 SAR −4%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 4.32 SGD 2.15 SGD −50%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 656.50 CHF 505.18 −23%

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Nextcom · Fair Value
8.50 ILA −42%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nextcom Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXTM

Frequently asked questions

Is Nextcom (NXTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.50 ILA versus a price of 12.04 ILA, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NXTM?
Our model-based fair value for Nextcom is 8.50 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.04 ILA.
What is the quality score of NXTM?
Nextcom has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nextcom (NXTM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.50 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.63 ILA, optimistic scenario 11.38 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nextcom stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.50 ILA, about −29% upside versus a price of 12.04 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 5.63 ILA, optimistic scenario 11.38 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nextcom (NXTM)?
Nextcom reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 451M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Nextcom pay a dividend?
Nextcom currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nextcom (NXTM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nextcom would have to grow free cash flow by +9.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NXTM use?
Our models discount Nextcom at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.81, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nextcom that is +9.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nextcom (NXTM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nextcom grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies +9.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nextcom (NXTM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nextcom (+9.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.78 %: that much free cash flow Nextcom produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nextcom (NXTM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nextcom it is 8.50 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 12.04 ILA. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nextcom stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NXTM trades above its calculated fair value: price 12.04 ILA, fair value 8.50 ILA, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXTM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.04 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.50 ILA). For Nextcom the two are 3.54 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nextcom worth?
The market values Nextcom at about 227M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 12.04 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 8.50 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXTM?
Our models span a range for Nextcom: cautious scenario 5.63 ILA, base 8.50 ILA, optimistic 11.38 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 12.04 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nextcom (NXTM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nextcom (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −5.6%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NXTM from its 52-week high?
Nextcom trades at 12.04 ILA, about 24% below its 52-week high of 15.86 ILA and 81% above the low of 6.65 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.50 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nextcom?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nextcom stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 12.04 ILA, calculated fair value 8.50 ILA (−29%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXTM calculated?
We run Nextcom through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8.50 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nextcom itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 12.04 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 8.50 ILA, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nextcom right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.38 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (5.63 ILA to 11.38 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Nextcom (NXTM) come from?
Earnings per share at Nextcom grew +9.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.3 %, EBIT margin +1.6 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Nextcom

How large is the market capitalisation of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The market capitalisation of Nextcom is 227M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nextcom is 0.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nextcom (NXTM)?
Earnings per share at Nextcom are −0.5200 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The dividend yield of Nextcom is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The net margin of Nextcom is −1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nextcom is −5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nextcom (NXTM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nextcom is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nextcom (NXTM)?
The operating margin of Nextcom is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nextcom (NXTM)?
Revenue at Nextcom is growing +13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nextcom (NXTM)?
Earnings per share at Nextcom are growing −90.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nextcom (NXTM) carry?
The net debt of Nextcom is 45.3M ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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