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New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of New Zealand Energy Corp stock C$0.27, price C$0.39, that is 31.8% below the price, quality 18 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Energy CA · Based in New Zealand · ISIN CA6501582077

NZ New Zealand Energy Corp logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

New Zealand Energy Corp

NZ · V
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 32% below what the stock costs today.

Profit last quarter +133% vs. a year ago.
Fair value C$0.2660 · Overvalued
Quality 18/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −21.7 %/yr in CAD)
Loss-making · -137.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 28/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate⚠ Thinly traded
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

C$1.67 C$0.0400 Fair Value C$0.2660 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0400 – C$1.67 · fair‑value band C$0.1995 – C$0.3325 · the C$0.3900 price screens above the C$0.2660 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

New Zealand Energy Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, production, development, and appraisal of oil and natural gas in New Zealand. It holds interests in three petroleum mining licenses, one petroleum mining permit, and one petroleum exploration permit.

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The company has interests in TWN Petroleum Mining Licenses comprising Waihapa/Ngaere, and Tariki; Copper Moki petroleum mining permit; and Eltham Petroleum exploration permit. It also operates midstream assets. New Zealand Energy Corp. was founded in 2010 and is based in New Plymouth, New Zealand.

Stock analysis

New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) currently trades at C$0.3900, while our estimate is C$0.2660, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: C$0.1995 (bear) to C$0.3325 (bull), the price of C$0.3900 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

New Zealand Energy Corp reported revenue of C$1.7M in FY2025 versus C$5.1M in FY2021, a compound −24.4%/yr. Reported net income was −C$7.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$21.8M (≈ $15.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 5.59 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.1800 · Return on equity −206% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 31.2% · Revenue (TTM) C$3.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) +857%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −32%, NZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear C$0.1995 Fair Value C$0.2660 Bull C$0.3325
Price C$0.3900 · Downside -31.8%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 18/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 77
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 0
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 40
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 65
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+42.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.3% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.8% (2020) → −180.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NZ screens overvalued: fair value 32% below the price. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 18 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −31.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −56.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −137.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 31.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 857.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 47.82× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 5.59× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 97
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $178.08 $242.64 +36% vs NZ
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$22.76 HK$26.80 +18% vs NZ
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.24 $53.41 +11% vs NZ
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $151.51 $166.94 +10% vs NZ
EQT Corporation EQT $52.00 $54.90 +6% vs NZ
Woodside Energy Group WDS $21.07 $19.39 −8% vs NZ
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.41 $39.64 −9% vs NZ
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $135.59 $92.89 −31% vs NZ
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.90 $33.18 −42% vs NZ
Aker BP ASA AKRBP kr 314.60 kr 127.39 −60% vs NZ

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New Zealand Energy Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Zealand Energy Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NZ

Frequently asked questions

Is New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is C$0.2660 versus a price of C$0.3900, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NZ?
Our estimate for New Zealand Energy Corp is C$0.2660 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.3900.
What is the quality score of NZ?
New Zealand Energy Corp has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of C$0.2660 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario C$0.1995, optimistic scenario C$0.3325. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the New Zealand Energy Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at C$0.2660, about 32% lower versus a price of C$0.3900 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1995, optimistic scenario C$0.3325. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
New Zealand Energy Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$3.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New Zealand Energy Corp it is C$0.2660 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of C$0.3900.
Is New Zealand Energy Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, NZ trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.3900, fair value C$0.2660, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.3900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.2660). For New Zealand Energy Corp the two are C$0.1240 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New Zealand Energy Corp worth?
The market values New Zealand Energy Corp at about C$21.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is C$0.3900; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.2660 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NZ?
Our models span a range for New Zealand Energy Corp: cautious scenario C$0.1995, base C$0.2660, optimistic C$0.3325 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price C$0.3900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for New Zealand Energy Corp (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −206.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 18/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NZ from its 52-week high?
New Zealand Energy Corp trades at C$0.3900, about 38% below its 52-week high of C$0.6300 and 117% above the low of C$0.1800 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.2660 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New Zealand Energy Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New Zealand Energy Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price C$0.3900, calculated fair value C$0.2660 (−32%), Quality Score 18/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. New Zealand Energy Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was C$0.3900. Our estimate is C$0.2660, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New Zealand Energy Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.3325). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of New Zealand Energy Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The market capitalisation of New Zealand Energy Corp is C$21.8M (≈ $15.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of New Zealand Energy Corp is 5.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Earnings per share at New Zealand Energy Corp are C$−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New Zealand Energy Corp is −206% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New Zealand Energy Corp is −12.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The operating margin of New Zealand Energy Corp is 31.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Revenue at New Zealand Energy Corp is growing +857% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Earnings per share at New Zealand Energy Corp are growing +133% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) generate?
The free cash flow of New Zealand Energy Corp is −C$4.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) carry?
The net debt of New Zealand Energy Corp is C$1.6M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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