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New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of New Zealand Energy Corp C$0.04, price C$0.40, upside -89.4%, quality 16 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · CA · ISIN CA6501582077

NZ Thin data Sep 23, 2026

New Zealand Energy Corp

NZ · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.0425 · Strongly overvalued (−89%)
!Quality 16/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −34.8 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

C$1.67 C$0.0400 Fair Value C$0.0425 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0400 – C$1.67 · fair‑value band C$0.0340 – C$0.0595 · the C$0.4000 price screens above the C$0.0425 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

New Zealand Energy Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, production, development, and appraisal of oil and natural gas in New Zealand. It holds interests in three petroleum mining licenses, one petroleum mining permit, and one petroleum exploration permit.

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New Zealand Energy Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, production, development, and appraisal of oil and natural gas in New Zealand. It holds interests in three petroleum mining licenses, one petroleum mining permit, and one petroleum exploration permit. The company has interests in TWN Petroleum Mining Licenses comprising Waihapa/Ngaere, and Tariki; Copper Moki petroleum mining permit; and Eltham Petroleum exploration permit. It also operates midstream assets. New Zealand Energy Corp. was founded in 2010 and is based in New Plymouth, New Zealand.

Stock analysis

New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) currently trades at C$0.4000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0425, implying the stock looks roughly 841.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0340 (bear) to C$0.0595 (bull), the price of C$0.4000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

New Zealand Energy Corp reported revenue of C$1.2M in FY2024 versus C$5.7M in FY2020, a compound −32.6%/yr. Reported net income was −C$8.1M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap C$24.9M (≈ $17.6M) · P/S ratio 20.4 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.4600 · Return on equity −120% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.6% · Operating margin −262% · Revenue (TTM) C$1.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) +51.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 122% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −89%, NZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0340 Fair Value C$0.0425 Bull C$0.0595
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0400 C$0.0500 C$0.0700 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0400 C$0.0500 C$0.0700 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 16/100

Of which business quality 19 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−39.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−38.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.8%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.0% (2019) → −385.8% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NZ screens 842% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −29% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 51% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.26× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 14.44× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 74

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.34 HK$39.89 +71%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $125.27 $90.15 −28%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.77 $52.55 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.52 $165.02 +18%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.31 $33.34 −41%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $184.50 $242.64 +32%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.93 $51.62 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.81 $55.89 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $355.24 $318.28 −10%

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New Zealand Energy Corp · Fair Value
C$0.0425 −842%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New Zealand Energy Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NZ

Frequently asked questions

Is New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0425 versus a price of C$0.4000, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NZ?
Our model-based fair value for New Zealand Energy Corp is C$0.0425 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.4000.
What is the quality score of NZ?
New Zealand Energy Corp has a Quality Score of 16/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0425 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0340, optimistic scenario C$0.0595. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the New Zealand Energy Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0425, about −89% upside versus a price of C$0.4000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0340, optimistic scenario C$0.0595. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
New Zealand Energy Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For New Zealand Energy Corp it is C$0.0425 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.4000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is New Zealand Energy Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NZ trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.4000, fair value C$0.0425, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.4000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0425). For New Zealand Energy Corp the two are C$0.3575 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is New Zealand Energy Corp worth?
The market values New Zealand Energy Corp at about C$24.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.4000; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0425 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NZ?
Our models span a range for New Zealand Energy Corp: cautious scenario C$0.0340, base C$0.0425, optimistic C$0.0595 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$0.4000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for New Zealand Energy Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −120.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 16/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NZ from its 52-week high?
New Zealand Energy Corp trades at C$0.4000, about 37% below its 52-week high of C$0.6300 and 122% above the low of C$0.1800 (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0425 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to New Zealand Energy Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is New Zealand Energy Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$0.4000, calculated fair value C$0.0425 (−89%), Quality Score 16/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NZ calculated?
We run New Zealand Energy Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0425, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. New Zealand Energy Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was C$0.4000. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0425, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with New Zealand Energy Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0595). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (16/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of New Zealand Energy Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The market capitalisation of New Zealand Energy Corp is C$24.9M (≈ $17.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of New Zealand Energy Corp is 20.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Earnings per share at New Zealand Energy Corp are C$−0.4600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of New Zealand Energy Corp is −120% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of New Zealand Energy Corp is −9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
The operating margin of New Zealand Energy Corp is −262% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Revenue at New Zealand Energy Corp is growing +51.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −38.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ)?
Earnings per share at New Zealand Energy Corp are growing +133% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) generate?
The free cash flow of New Zealand Energy Corp is −C$7.8M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does New Zealand Energy Corp (NZ) carry?
The net debt of New Zealand Energy Corp is C$1.6M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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