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Oberbank AG (OBS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Oberbank AG stock €54.82, price €83.60, that is 34.4% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services AT · ISIN AT0000625108

OA Oberbank AG logo Broad data Nov 8, 2026

Oberbank AG

OBS · VI
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 34% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 42.9% net margin (TTM)
1.6% dividend yield · Low payout
Broad data
Profit last quarter +26% vs. a year ago.
Quality 52/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.4 %/yr in EUR)
Wide moat 66/100 · thin data
Fair value €54.82 · Overvalued (−34.4%)
Trails peers (4/14)
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€83.60 €44.11 Fair Value €54.82 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €44.11 – €83.60 · fair‑value band €51.30 – €61.75 · the €83.60 price screens above the €54.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Oberbank AG provides various banking products and services in Austria. It operates through Corporate Customers, Private Customers, and Financial Markets segments.

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The company offers savings, current, and business accounts; securities products, such as bonds, shares, investment funds, fund savings, and sustainable investment; consumer and home financing, car leasing, and funding services.

It also provides business cards; cash management; internet banking; stock exchanges and markets; and asset and wealth management services. In addition, the company offers debit and credit cards; loans; pensions and insurance products; online services; and mobile banking.

The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Linz, Austria.

Stock analysis

Oberbank AG (OBS) currently trades at €83.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €54.82, 34% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €77.38 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €83.60 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €15.69, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €51.30 (bear) to €61.75 (bull), the price of €83.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Oberbank AG reported revenue of €923M in FY2025 versus €587M in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was €371M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €5.9B Mid · P/E ratio 15.1 · P/S ratio 6.48 · EPS (TTM) €5.54 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 42.9% · Return on equity 9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 66 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −34%, OBS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €51.30 Fair Value €54.82 Bull €61.75
Price €83.60 · Downside -34.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€3.58 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income €51.30 €54.82 €61.32 76
Gordon GGM €9.79 €17.04 €25.60 67
DDM Multi-Stage €9.79 €14.34 €18.98 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €9.79 €17.04 €25.60 67
DDM Multi-Stage €9.79 €14.34 €18.98 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €51.24 €68.31 €85.39 63
P/B Multiple €64.84 €86.45 €108.06 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €30.88 €41.37 €61.75 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €51.30 €54.82 €61.32 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 34
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 41
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 28
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 74
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 100
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 44
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 72
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.9% vs 7.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 52%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

OBS screens overvalued: fair value 34% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Oberbank shows strength in faster-than-market commercial loan growth with low credit risk and double-digit fee income rises, yet its main weakness is the thin evidence of any durable competitive advantage combined with debt exceeding equity.
Main risk: Pressure on net interest income represents the biggest risk to Oberbank's business as it could erode gains from expanded corporate lending and higher fee income.
Oberbank has expanded its commercial loan portfolio faster than the Austrian market while maintaining low credit risk. Fee income rose double digits and equity stakes delivered a large boost to half-year results. Will the outperformance in corporate lending and service revenues outweigh any pressure on net interest income going forward?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 998 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −34.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 9.0% · Below median
Return on assets 1.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 42.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 56.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 10.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.02× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 15.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.35× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 6.48× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 56.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 14.5× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)51 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)36 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)32 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.53 ¥7.59 +37% vs OBS
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.88 ¥52.73 +23% vs OBS
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.93 €106.01 +15% vs OBS
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.18 €4.49 −27% vs OBS
State Bank of India SBIN ₹1,019 ₹736.65 −28% vs OBS
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €76.80 €50.44 −34% vs OBS
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.40 $5.90 −37% vs OBS
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs OBS
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹788.25 ₹406.39 −48% vs OBS
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,571 ₹615.63 −61% vs OBS

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Oberbank AG: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oberbank AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OBS

Frequently asked questions

Is Oberbank AG (OBS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €54.82 versus a price of €83.60, about 34% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OBS?
Our model-based fair value for Oberbank AG is €54.82 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €83.60.
What is the quality score of OBS?
Oberbank AG has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oberbank AG (OBS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €54.82 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €51.30, optimistic scenario €61.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oberbank AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €54.82, about 34% lower versus a price of €83.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €51.30, optimistic scenario €61.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
Oberbank AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €911M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Oberbank AG pay a dividend?
Oberbank AG currently shows a dividend yield of 1.61% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Oberbank AG (OBS) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Oberbank AG pays a dividend of €1.35 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was May 21, 2026. The payout ratio is 24.4% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oberbank AG it is €54.82 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of €83.60. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Oberbank AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, OBS trades above its calculated fair value: price €83.60, fair value €54.82, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OBS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€83.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€54.82). For Oberbank AG the two are €28.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oberbank AG worth?
The market values Oberbank AG at about €5.9B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is €83.60; our models calculate a fair value of €54.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OBS?
Our models span a range for Oberbank AG: cautious scenario €51.30, base €54.82, optimistic €61.75 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price €83.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OBS?
Oberbank AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.1 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €54.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 6.5, EV/EBITDA 14.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oberbank AG (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 9.0%, debt of 1.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OBS from its 52-week high?
Oberbank AG trades at €83.60, at its 52-week high of €83.60 and 10% above the low of €76.20 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €54.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oberbank AG?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oberbank AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price €83.60, calculated fair value €54.82 (−34%), Quality Score 52/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OBS calculated?
We run Oberbank AG through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €54.82 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Oberbank AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €83.60. Our model-based fair value is €54.82, about 34% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oberbank AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€61.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Oberbank AG (OBS) come from?
Earnings per share at Oberbank AG grew +8.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin +4.1 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Oberbank AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
The market capitalisation of Oberbank AG is €5.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oberbank AG is 6.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
Earnings per share at Oberbank AG are €5.54 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
The dividend yield of Oberbank AG is 1.6% (payout 24.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
The net margin of Oberbank AG is 42.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oberbank AG is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oberbank AG is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oberbank AG (OBS)?
The operating margin of Oberbank AG is 56.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oberbank AG (OBS)?
Revenue at Oberbank AG is growing +10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oberbank AG (OBS)?
Earnings per share at Oberbank AG are growing +25.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Oberbank AG (OBS) generate?
The free cash flow of Oberbank AG is €104M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Oberbank AG (OBS) carry?
The net debt of Oberbank AG is €5.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 49.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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