Omega Flex Inc (OFLX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Omega Flex Inc stock $24.07, price $23.91, upside +0.7%, quality 73 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.91 – $139.55 · fair‑value band $18.53 – $30.17 · the $23.91 price screens below the $24.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Omega Flex, Inc. manufactures and sells flexible metal hoses, fittings, and accessories in the United States, Canada, and internationally.
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It offers flexible gas piping for use in residential and commercial buildings; fittings; containment pining; and corrugated copper tubing for use in hospitals, ambulatory care centers, dental, physician and veterinary clinics, laboratories, and other facilities.
The company sells its products under the TracPipe CSST, CounterStrike CSST, AutoFlare, DoubleTrac, DEF-Trac, and MediTrac brand names. It serves various markets, including construction, manufacturing, transportation, petrochemical, pharmaceutical, and other industries.
The company sells its products through independent sales representatives, distributors, wholesalers, original equipment manufacturers, and direct sales, as well as through its website. The company was formerly known as Tofle America, Inc. and changed its name to Omega Flex, Inc. in 1996.
Omega Flex, Inc. was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Exton, Pennsylvania.
Stock analysis
Omega Flex Inc (OFLX) currently trades at $23.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.07, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $29.61 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the $23.91 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.17, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $18.53 (bear) to $30.17 (bull), the price of $23.91 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Omega Flex Inc reported revenue of $98.3M in FY2025 versus $130M in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $14.8M in FY2025, compounding −13.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $241M Micro · P/E ratio 23.0 · P/S ratio 2.50 · EPS (TTM) $1.04 · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 12.3% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 1%, OFLX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$18.53Fair Value $24.07Bull$30.17
Price $23.91 · Upside +0.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $45,510, most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Buying cluster
BuyMatthew Francis UngerVice President - CFO1,000 shares at $25.42$25,420Sep 14, 2026
BuyEdwin B. MoranPresident, Director2× since Nov 24, 2025: 1,290 shares, avg. $26.15$33,735Sep 14, 2026
BuyDean W. RivestChief Executive Officer, Director1,000 shares at $29.50$29,500Mar 11, 2026
BuyDavid K EvansDirector384 shares at $30.64$11,765Dec 10, 2025
BuyStephen M SheaDirector3,750 shares at $28.46$106,721Dec 5, 2025
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.5% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
0.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.7% vs 0.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 17%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+0.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets14.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)12.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)12.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−5.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.87× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)2.50× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.7× · Cheaper than median
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Is Omega Flex Inc (OFLX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.07 versus a price of $23.91, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OFLX?
Our model-based fair value for Omega Flex Inc is $24.07 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.91.
What is the quality score of OFLX?
Omega Flex Inc has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $24.07 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $18.53, optimistic scenario $30.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Omega Flex Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $24.07, about +1% upside versus a price of $23.91 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $18.53, optimistic scenario $30.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
Omega Flex Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $96.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Omega Flex Inc pay a dividend?
Omega Flex Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 5.69% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Omega Flex Inc pays a dividend of $1.36 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2012. The payout ratio is 131% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.12 times. Our assessment: Payout strained. The dividend exceeds reported earnings (though reported profit is often depressed by one-off charges), and free cash flow only just covers it (or coverage is unknown). Not an emergency, but little room for error.
What growth is priced into Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Omega Flex Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +3.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.5 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OFLX use?
Our models discount Omega Flex Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Omega Flex Inc that is +3.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Omega Flex Inc (OFLX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Omega Flex Inc grew -1.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +3.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Omega Flex Inc (+3.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.36 %: that much free cash flow Omega Flex Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Omega Flex Inc it is $24.07 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $23.91. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Omega Flex Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, OFLX trades below its calculated fair value: price $23.91, fair value $24.07, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OFLX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.91); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($24.07). For Omega Flex Inc the two are $0.1600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Omega Flex Inc worth?
The market values Omega Flex Inc at about $241M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $23.91; our models calculate a fair value of $24.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OFLX?
Our models span a range for Omega Flex Inc: cautious scenario $18.53, base $24.07, optimistic $30.17 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $23.91). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OFLX?
Omega Flex Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.0 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $24.07 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 39.5. Other multiples: P/B 2.9, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 12.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Omega Flex Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 14.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OFLX from its 52-week high?
Omega Flex Inc trades at $23.91, about 34% below its 52-week high of $36.26 and at the low of $23.91 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $24.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Omega Flex Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Omega Flex Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $23.91, calculated fair value $24.07 (+1%), Quality Score 73/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OFLX calculated?
We run Omega Flex Inc through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $24.07 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Omega Flex Inc currently trades 1% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $23.91. Our model-based fair value is $24.07, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Omega Flex Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX) come from?
Earnings per share at Omega Flex Inc grew +2.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.5 %, EBIT margin −1.8 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Omega Flex Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
The market capitalisation of Omega Flex Inc is $241M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Omega Flex Inc is 2.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
Earnings per share at Omega Flex Inc are $1.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
The dividend yield of Omega Flex Inc is 5.7% (payout 131%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
The net margin of Omega Flex Inc is 12.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Omega Flex Inc is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Omega Flex Inc is 26.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
The operating margin of Omega Flex Inc is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
Revenue at Omega Flex Inc is growing −5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Omega Flex Inc (OFLX)?
Earnings per share at Omega Flex Inc are growing −35.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Omega Flex Inc (OFLX) hold?
Omega Flex Inc holds more cash than debt, $48.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026