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Orange Minerals NL (OMX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Orange Minerals NL stock A$0.04, price A$0.05, that is 23.7% below the price, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000184293

OM Orange Minerals NL logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Orange Minerals NL

OMX · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 24% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 44% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0397 · Overvalued
Quality 25/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −28.6 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2050 A$0.0200 Fair Value A$0.0397 Dec 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range A$0.0200 – A$0.2050 · fair‑value band A$0.0360 – A$0.0433 · the A$0.0520 price screens above the A$0.0397 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Orange Minerals NL operates as a gold and copper exploration company in Australia. It also explores for silver and other base metals. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Orange Minerals NL (OMX) currently trades at A$0.0520, while our estimate is A$0.0397, 24% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0360 (bear) to A$0.0433 (bull), the price of A$0.0520 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Orange Minerals NL reported revenue of A$19.0K in FY2026 versus A$170K in FY2022, a compound −42.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.7M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$11.3M (≈ $7.8M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −20.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2,275% · Revenue (TTM) A$19.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) −43.5% · Free cash flow −A$1.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −24%, OMX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0360 Fair Value A$0.0397 Bull A$0.0433
Price A$0.0520 · Downside -23.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 1
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 84
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 32
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 32
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 15
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−43.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−988.4% (2022) → −5,523.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

OMX screens overvalued: fair value 24% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 150 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −23.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −16.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −43.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.15× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)2 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $9.36 $12.73 +36% vs OMX
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.29 $16.21 +13% vs OMX
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $32.15 $32.54 +1% vs OMX
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $27.08 $26.98 +0% vs OMX
International Gemological Institute Limited IGIL ₹426.80 ₹338.90 −21% vs OMX
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $19.33 $15.34 −21% vs OMX
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.98 ¥13.23 −22% vs OMX
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$32.07 C$15.00 −53% vs OMX
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$40.87 C$15.63 −62% vs OMX
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,730 IDR 881.70 IDR −76% vs OMX

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Orange Minerals NL: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orange Minerals NL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OMX

Frequently asked questions

Is Orange Minerals NL (OMX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0397 versus the last price from Nov 2, 2026 of A$0.0520, about 24% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OMX?
Our estimate for Orange Minerals NL is A$0.0397 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Nov 2, 2026): A$0.0520.
What is the quality score of OMX?
Orange Minerals NL has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0397 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0360, optimistic scenario A$0.0433. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Orange Minerals NL stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0397, about 24% lower versus the last price from Nov 2, 2026 of A$0.0520 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0360, optimistic scenario A$0.0433. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Orange Minerals NL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$19.0K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orange Minerals NL it is A$0.0397 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0520.
Is Orange Minerals NL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, OMX trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0520, fair value A$0.0397, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OMX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0520); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0397). For Orange Minerals NL the two are A$0.0123 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orange Minerals NL worth?
The market values Orange Minerals NL at about A$11.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0520; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0397 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OMX?
Our models span a range for Orange Minerals NL: cautious scenario A$0.0360, base A$0.0397, optimistic A$0.0433 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0520). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orange Minerals NL (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −20.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OMX from its 52-week high?
Orange Minerals NL trades at A$0.0520, about 48% below its 52-week high of A$0.1000 and 24% above the low of A$0.0420 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0397 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orange Minerals NL?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orange Minerals NL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0520, calculated fair value A$0.0397 (−24%), Quality Score 25/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Orange Minerals NL itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
The latest price we hold is from Nov 2, 2026 and stands at A$0.0520. Our estimate is A$0.0397, about 24% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orange Minerals NL right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0433). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Orange Minerals NL

How large is the market capitalisation of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
The market capitalisation of Orange Minerals NL is A$11.3M (≈ $7.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Earnings per share at Orange Minerals NL are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orange Minerals NL is −20.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orange Minerals NL is −12.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
The operating margin of Orange Minerals NL is −2,275% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Revenue at Orange Minerals NL is growing −43.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Orange Minerals NL (OMX) generate?
The free cash flow of Orange Minerals NL is −A$1.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Orange Minerals NL (OMX) hold?
Orange Minerals NL holds more cash than debt, A$1.1M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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