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Orange Minerals NL (OMX) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$12.7M

OM Orange Minerals NL OMX · AU
PriceA$0.0660
Fair ValueA$0.0850
Upside+28.8%
Quality27/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0680 – A$0.1105 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 47 days ago

Share price +13.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 29% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0680). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.2050 A$0.0200 Fair Value A$0.0850 Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range A$0.0200 – A$0.2050 · fair‑value band A$0.0680 – A$0.1105 · the A$0.0660 price screens below the A$0.0850 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Orange Minerals NL (OMX) currently trades at A$0.0660, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0850, implying the stock looks roughly 28.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$33.6K. Revenue declined 55.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.3%. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0680 (bear case) to A$0.1105 (bull case); at A$0.0660, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 29%, OMX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$33.6K
Revenue growth (YoY) -55.4%
Return on equity -16.3%
Free cash flow −A$1.6M FY2025
Operating margin -3,167%
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
More key figures
Net cash A$658K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Orange Minerals NL operates as a gold and copper exploration company in Australia. It also explores for silver and other base metals. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orange Minerals NL reported revenue of A$33.6K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$1.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$33.6K
Latest YoY
−55.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−41.8%
Revenue
FY21 A$0
FY22 A$170K
FY23 A$52.1K
FY24 A$75.3K
FY25 A$33.6K
Net income
FY21 −A$78.2K
FY22 −A$1.9M
FY23 −A$1.2M
FY24 −A$1.1M
FY25 −A$1.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orange Minerals NL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OMX

Peer Group

Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +29% · Top 25%
Return on assets -8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -55% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.33× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 72 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fresnillo plc FRES 579.75 MXN 558.30 MXN -4%
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.52 $8.15 -44%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $29.82 $29.96 +0%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $8.12 $9.90 +22%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$24.78 C$18.48 -25%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$32.98 C$21.86 -34%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $28.10 $16.03 -43%
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥21.01 ¥13.23 -37%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA C$26.10 C$5.85 -78%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥13.15 ¥2.84 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orange Minerals NL (OMX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0850 versus a price of A$0.0660, about +29% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OMX?
Our model-based fair value for Orange Minerals NL is A$0.0850 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0660.
What is the quality score of OMX?
Orange Minerals NL has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Orange Minerals NL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$33.6K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OMX?
The net profit margin of Orange Minerals NL is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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