Orange Minerals NL (OMX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Orange Minerals NL is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range A$0.0200 – A$0.2050 · fair‑value band A$0.0680 – A$0.1105 · the A$0.0600 price screens below the A$0.0850 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Orange Minerals NL operates as a gold and copper exploration company in Australia. It also explores for silver and other base metals. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Orange Minerals NL (OMX) currently trades at A$0.0600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0850, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0680 (bear) to A$0.1105 (bull), the price of A$0.0600 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Orange Minerals NL reported revenue of A$33.6K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$1.0M in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 42%, OMX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0680Fair Value A$0.0850Bull A$0.1105
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−55.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−41.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−988.4% (2022) → −1,912.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+42% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−55% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Orange Minerals NL (OMX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0850 versus a price of A$0.0600, about +42% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OMX?
Our model-based fair value for Orange Minerals NL is A$0.0850 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0600.
What is the quality score of OMX?
Orange Minerals NL has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0850 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0680, optimistic scenario A$0.1105. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orange Minerals NL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0850, about +42% upside versus a price of A$0.0600 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0680, optimistic scenario A$0.1105. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Orange Minerals NL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$33.6K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orange Minerals NL it is A$0.0850 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0600. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orange Minerals NL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, OMX trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0600, fair value A$0.0850, a gap of about +42% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OMX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0850). For Orange Minerals NL the two are A$0.0250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orange Minerals NL worth?
The market values Orange Minerals NL at about A$14.1M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0600; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0850 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OMX?
Our models span a range for Orange Minerals NL: cautious scenario A$0.0680, base A$0.0850, optimistic A$0.1105 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.0600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orange Minerals NL (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −16.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OMX from its 52-week high?
Orange Minerals NL trades at A$0.0600, about 40% below its 52-week high of A$0.1000 and 43% above the low of A$0.0420 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0850 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orange Minerals NL?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orange Minerals NL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.0600, calculated fair value A$0.0850 (+42%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OMX calculated?
We run Orange Minerals NL through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0850, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Orange Minerals NL currently trades 42 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0600. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0850, about +42% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orange Minerals NL right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0680). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Orange Minerals NL
How large is the market capitalisation of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
The market capitalisation of Orange Minerals NL is A$14.1M (≈ $9.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Earnings per share at Orange Minerals NL are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orange Minerals NL is −16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orange Minerals NL is −68.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
The operating margin of Orange Minerals NL is −3,167% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orange Minerals NL (OMX)?
Revenue at Orange Minerals NL is growing −55.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −41.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Orange Minerals NL (OMX) generate?
The free cash flow of Orange Minerals NL is −A$1.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Orange Minerals NL (OMX) hold?
Orange Minerals NL holds more cash than debt, A$658K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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