Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. stock $50.57, price $19.59, upside +158.1%, quality 69 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
13‑month range $19.59 – $37.34 · fair‑value band $38.61 – $62.52 · the $19.59 price screens below the $50.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Phoenix Education Partners, Inc., through its subsidiary, The University of Phoenix, Inc., provides online higher education for working adults in the United States.
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It develops talent solutions programs for employers, including a talent-sourcing platform that connects employers with students whose skills profiles align with job postings; and an AI-powered tool that scans an employer's inventory of sought-after skills and designs development pathways to internal job opportunities.
The company was formerly known as AP VIII Queso Holdings, L.P. and changed its name to Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. in September 2025. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Ap Viii Socrates Holdings, L.P.
Stock analysis
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED) currently trades at $19.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.57, implying the stock looks roughly 61% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $54.80 per share, and 19 of the 25 models we run sit above the $19.59 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.55, and 6 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $38.61 (bear) to $62.52 (bull), the price of $19.59 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2026 versus $835M in FY2023, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $88.9M in FY2026, compounding +11.0%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap $760M Small · P/E ratio 8.6 · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) $2.29 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 8.7% · Return on equity 30.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 27.9% (4-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 75 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 31% fair-value upside, at 158%, PXED screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$38.61Fair Value $50.57Bull$62.52
Price $19.59 · Upside +158.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 2 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2703 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $534,904 and none bought.
SaleJohn Terrence WoodsChief Academic Off. & Provost2× since Oct 9, 2026: 20,703 shares, avg. $25.84$534,904Oct 23, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 19 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−25.6%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −27.3% a year for the price and −2.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (40 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: High ROE and margins signal solid profitability while the shift toward employer channels supports resilience, yet limited non-financial data and search algorithm pressures constrain the moat assessment.
Main risk: AI-driven changes in search algorithms continue to pressure non-employer enrollments, which would reduce overall student demand during the transition to employer-affiliated channels.
Phoenix Education Partners faces ongoing pressure on non-employer enrollments from AI-driven changes in search algorithms. At the same time it is shifting more toward employer-affiliated channels that already represent over a third of students and integrating the recent Fuel50 acquisition to sit further upstream in workforce skills intelligence. Our models currently see the shares as undervalued. Will the B2B pivot and Fuel50 synergies restore growth momentum by fiscal 2028 or will search disruption extend the transition?
Compare Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Above median
Fair Value upside+158.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)30.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets14.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)8.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)16.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.4% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PXED
Frequently asked questions
Is Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $50.57 versus a price of $19.59, about +158% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PXED?
Our model-based fair value for Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. is $50.57 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.59.
What is the quality score of PXED?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $50.57 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $38.61, optimistic scenario $62.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $50.57, about +158% upside versus a price of $19.59 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $38.61, optimistic scenario $62.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. pay a dividend?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 4.39% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. pays a dividend of $0.86 per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.4%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 13, 2026. The payout ratio is 37.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.57 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by -25.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +6.8 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PXED use?
Our models discount Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. that is -25.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. grew +6.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -25.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (-25.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.13 %: that much free cash flow Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. it is $50.57 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $19.59. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, PXED trades below its calculated fair value: price $19.59, fair value $50.57, a gap of about +158% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PXED?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($50.57). For Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. the two are $30.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. worth?
The market values Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. at about $760M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $19.59; our models calculate a fair value of $50.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PXED?
Our models span a range for Phoenix Education Partners, Inc.: cautious scenario $38.61, base $50.57, optimistic $62.52 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $19.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PXED?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.6 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $50.57 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 3.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
Balance-sheet figures for Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 30.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PXED from its 52-week high?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. trades at $19.59, about 44% below its 52-week high of $34.76 and at the low of $19.59 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $50.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Phoenix Education Partners, Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, Physicswallah Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $19.59, calculated fair value $50.57 (+158%), Quality Score 69/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PXED calculated?
We run Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $50.57 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. currently trades 61% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $19.59. Our model-based fair value is $50.57, about +158% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($38.61). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
The market capitalisation of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. is $760M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. is 0.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
Earnings per share at Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. are $2.29 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
The dividend yield of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. is 4.4% (payout 37.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
The net margin of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. is 8.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. is 30.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. is 27.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
The operating margin of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
Revenue at Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED)?
Earnings per share at Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. are growing +33.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. (PXED) hold?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. holds more cash than debt, $101M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026