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Phoenix Education Partners, Inc (PXED) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.1B

PE Phoenix Education Partners, Inc logo Phoenix Education Partners, Inc PXED · US
Price$28.83
Fair Value$75.10
Upside+160.5%
Quality78/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.40% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: Medium Range $46.51 – $97.63 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −15.4% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 160% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (78/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($46.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range ($46.51 to $97.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (10 months)

$37.34 $26.12 Fair Value $75.10 Oct 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range $26.12 – $37.34 · fair‑value band $46.51 – $97.63 · the $28.83 price screens below the $75.10 fair value. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Phoenix Education Partners, Inc (PXED) currently trades at $28.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $75.10, implying the stock looks roughly 160.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Phoenix Education Partners, Inc generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $63.2M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $46.51 (bear case) to $97.63 (bull case); at $28.83, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 160%, PXED screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $18.66 $22.62 $89.12 76
Growth DCF $21.31 $28.61 $37.95 72
Gordon GGM $46.51 $83.82 $115.39 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $21.28 $29.84 $41.61 38
Owner Earnings $39.70 $57.30 $81.49 31
5Y Revenue Exit $24.34 $37.64 $54.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $43.29 $73.82 $110.29 41
5Y P/E Exit $43.95 $75.07 $108.57 38
10Y Revenue Exit $22.24 $33.45 $48.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $34.00 $56.65 $88.32 37
10Y P/E Exit $34.39 $57.46 $87.10 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $25.42 $87.44 $117.39 54
Lynch FV $20.18 $28.82 $37.47 50
PEG = 1.0 $20.18 $28.82 $37.47 46
EPV $42.21 $47.45 $51.81 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $46.51 $83.82 $115.39 70
DDM Multi-Stage $46.51 $75.69 $89.54 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $61.68 $82.25 $102.81 63
P/S Multiple $25.31 $33.75 $42.19 58
P/B Multiple $20.67 $27.56 $34.46 55
EV/EBIT $86.21 $113.67 $141.14 53
EV/EBITDA $64.27 $84.43 $104.58 54
EV/Revenue $27.44 $37.56 $47.69 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.45 $4.62 $6.89 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $21.31 $28.61 $37.95 72
Rev-Margin DCF $24.34 $37.53 $53.08 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $18.66 $22.62 $89.12 76
ROIC Compounder $42.98 $49.14 $54.78 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $52.57 $75.10 $97.63 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($75.69) versus Asset-Based ($4.62). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.4%
Net margin 9.6%
Free cash flow $64.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.2
Operating margin 7.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $2.72
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -34.9%
Net cash $63.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 78/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 92
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Phoenix Education Partners, Inc., through its subsidiary, The University of Phoenix, Inc., provides online higher education for working adults in the United States.

Full company description

Phoenix Education Partners, Inc., through its subsidiary, The University of Phoenix, Inc., provides online higher education for working adults in the United States. It develops talent solutions programs for employers, including a talent-sourcing platform that connects employers with students whose skills profiles align with job postings; and an AI-powered tool that scans an employer's inventory of sought-after skills and designs development pathways to internal job opportunities. The company was formerly known as AP VIII Queso Holdings, L.P. and changed its name to Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. in September 2025. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Ap Viii Socrates Holdings, L.P.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Phoenix Education Partners, Inc reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2025 versus $835M in FY2023, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was $134M in FY2025, compounding +43.6%/yr from FY2023.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.0B
Latest YoY
+6.0%
Revenue +9.8%/yr
FY23 $835M
FY24 $950M
FY25 $1.0B
Net income +43.6%/yr
FY23 $64.9M
FY24 $113M
FY25 $134M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phoenix Education Partners, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PXED

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 78 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +161% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.08× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 16.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 18
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 28 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 897.37 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group TAL $10.24 $15.60 +52%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.45 $41.45 +14%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹131.59 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $149.00 $152.01 +2%
Covista Inc CVSA $116.22 $135.45 +17%
Stride, Inc LRN $83.39 $139.45 +67%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.33 $21.35 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $84.18 $105.48 +25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Phoenix Education Partners, Inc (PXED) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $75.10 versus a price of $28.83, about +160% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PXED?
Our model-based fair value for Phoenix Education Partners, Inc is $75.10 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.83.
What is the quality score of PXED?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc has a Quality Score of 78/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc (PXED)?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PXED?
The net profit margin of Phoenix Education Partners, Inc is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Phoenix Education Partners, Inc pay a dividend?
Phoenix Education Partners, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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