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Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Redcastle Resources Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.07, that is 61.5% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000199051

RR Redcastle Resources Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Redcastle Resources Ltd

RC1 · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 62% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 42/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +40.0 %/yr in AUD)
Revenue last quarter 75% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0277 · Strongly overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2600 A$0.0500 Fair Value A$0.0277 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0500 – A$0.2600 · the A$0.0720 price screens above the A$0.0277 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 5 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Redcastle Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of gold properties in Australia. Its flagship properties are its 100% owned Queen Alexandra and Redcastle Reef prospects located in the Eastern Goldfields region of Western Australia.

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The company was formerly known as Transcendence Technologies Limited and changed its name to Redcastle Resources Limited in December 2021. Redcastle Resources Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) currently trades at A$0.0720, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0277, 62% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2007: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2007.

Redcastle Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$31.4K in FY2025 versus A$540 in FY2021, a compound +176.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$9.5M (≈ $6.6M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −24.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −9,270% · Revenue growth (YoY) −75.4% · Free cash flow −A$1.5M · Net cash A$1.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −62%, RC1 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0277 Fair Value A$0.0277 Bull A$0.0277
Price A$0.0720 · Downside -61.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 53

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 89
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 17
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2007: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2007.
Revenue growth 1 year
−28.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7,165.3% (2020) → −2,937.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

RC1 screens overvalued: fair value 62% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 206 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −17.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −75.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.95× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $191.57 $220.07 +15% vs RC1
Newmont Corporation NEM $120.91 $133.00 +10% vs RC1
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $92.99 $88.58 −5% vs RC1
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $265.81 $248.53 −7% vs RC1
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥26.72 ¥23.61 −12% vs RC1
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $254.95 $212.28 −17% vs RC1
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.24 $18.00 −19% vs RC1
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$25.85 A$16.87 −35% vs RC1
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $136.31 $87.64 −36% vs RC1
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.41 ¥15.62 −45% vs RC1

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Redcastle Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Redcastle Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RC1

Frequently asked questions

Is Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0277 versus a price of A$0.0720, about 62% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RC1?
Our model-based fair value for Redcastle Resources Ltd is A$0.0277 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0720.
What is the quality score of RC1?
Redcastle Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0277 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Redcastle Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0277, about 62% lower versus a price of A$0.0720 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Redcastle Resources Ltd it is A$0.0277 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.0720. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Redcastle Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, RC1 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0720, fair value A$0.0277, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RC1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0720); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0277). For Redcastle Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0443 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Redcastle Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Redcastle Resources Ltd at about A$9.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0720; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0277 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Redcastle Resources Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −24.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RC1 from its 52-week high?
Redcastle Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0720, about 67% below its 52-week high of A$0.2200 and 1% above the low of A$0.0710 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0277 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Redcastle Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Redcastle Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.0720, calculated fair value A$0.0277 (−62%), Quality Score 42/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RC1 calculated?
We run Redcastle Resources Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0277 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Redcastle Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.0720. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0277, about 62% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Redcastle Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0277). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Redcastle Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
The market capitalisation of Redcastle Resources Ltd is A$9.5M (≈ $6.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Earnings per share at Redcastle Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Redcastle Resources Ltd is −24.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Redcastle Resources Ltd is −17.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
The operating margin of Redcastle Resources Ltd is −9,270% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Revenue at Redcastle Resources Ltd is growing −75.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) generate?
The free cash flow of Redcastle Resources Ltd is −A$1.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) hold?
Redcastle Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.8M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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