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Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Redcastle Resources Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000199051

RR Thin data Jun 24, 2026

Redcastle Resources Ltd

RC1 · AU

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value A$0.1105 · Undervalued (+38%)
!Quality 24/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +40.0 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/6)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2600 A$0.0500 Fair Value A$0.1105 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0500 – A$0.2600 · fair‑value band A$0.0850 – A$0.1360 · the A$0.0800 price screens below the A$0.1105 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Redcastle Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of gold properties in Australia. Its flagship properties are its 100% owned Queen Alexandra and Redcastle Reef prospects located in the Eastern Goldfields region of Western Australia.

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Redcastle Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of gold properties in Australia. Its flagship properties are its 100% owned Queen Alexandra and Redcastle Reef prospects located in the Eastern Goldfields region of Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Transcendence Technologies Limited and changed its name to Redcastle Resources Limited in December 2021. Redcastle Resources Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) currently trades at A$0.0800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1105, implying the stock looks roughly 27.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0850 (bear) to A$0.1360 (bull), the price of A$0.0800 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Redcastle Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$31.4K in FY2025 versus A$540 in FY2021, a compound +176.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$12.7M (≈ $8.9M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −20.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −27.4% · Operating margin −32,850% · Revenue (TTM) −A$7.6K · Revenue growth (YoY) −85.1% · Free cash flow −A$3.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 38%, RC1 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0850 Fair Value A$0.1105 Bull A$0.1360
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−28.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7,165.3% (2020) → −2,937.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +38% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −85% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.51× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)84 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEM $121.30 $133.43 +10%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥30.01 ¥44.45 +48%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $195.57 $222.49 +14%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $42.49 $65.40 +54%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $260.91 $287.00 +10%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $145.45 $89.12 −39%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $104.60 $88.63 −15%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$146.60 HK$83.20 −43%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $27.62 $51.30 +86%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.78 $278.06 +10%

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A$0.1105 +28%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Redcastle Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RC1

Frequently asked questions

Is Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1105 versus a price of A$0.0800, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RC1?
Our model-based fair value for Redcastle Resources Ltd is A$0.1105 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0800.
What is the quality score of RC1?
Redcastle Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1105 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0850, optimistic scenario A$0.1360. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Redcastle Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1105, about +38% upside versus a price of A$0.0800 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0850, optimistic scenario A$0.1360. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Redcastle Resources Ltd it is A$0.1105 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0800. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Redcastle Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, RC1 trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0800, fair value A$0.1105, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RC1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1105). For Redcastle Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0305 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Redcastle Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Redcastle Resources Ltd at about A$12.7M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0800; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1105 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RC1?
Our models span a range for Redcastle Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0850, base A$0.1105, optimistic A$0.1360 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.0800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Redcastle Resources Ltd (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −20.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RC1 from its 52-week high?
Redcastle Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0800, about 64% below its 52-week high of A$0.2200 and 5% above the low of A$0.0760 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1105 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Redcastle Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Redcastle Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.0800, calculated fair value A$0.1105 (+38%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RC1 calculated?
We run Redcastle Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1105, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Redcastle Resources Ltd currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0800. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1105, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Redcastle Resources Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0850). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Redcastle Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
The market capitalisation of Redcastle Resources Ltd is A$12.7M (≈ $8.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Earnings per share at Redcastle Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Redcastle Resources Ltd is −20.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Redcastle Resources Ltd is −27.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
The operating margin of Redcastle Resources Ltd is −32,850% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) generate?
Redcastle Resources Ltd generates revenue of −A$7.6K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1)?
Revenue at Redcastle Resources Ltd is growing −85.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +459%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) generate?
The free cash flow of Redcastle Resources Ltd is −A$3.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Redcastle Resources Ltd (RC1) hold?
Redcastle Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$750K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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