Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Resideo Technologies Inc stock $12.42, price $19.40, that is 36.0% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 5 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.95 – $30.95 · fair‑value band $9.53 – $16.15 · the $19.40 price screens above the $12.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Resideo Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, sells, and distributes comfort, energy management, and safety and security solutions in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Products and Solutions and ADI Global Distribution segments.
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The Products and Solutions segment offers temperature and humidity control, water and air solutions, smoke and carbon monoxide detection home safety products, residential and small business security products, video cameras, other home-related lifestyle convenience solutions, cloud infrastructure, installation and maintenance tools, and related software products under the Honeywell Home, First Alert, Resideo, Braukmann, and BRK brand names.
The ADI Global Distribution segment distributes low-voltage products, including security and audio-visual solutions serving commercial and residential markets through an omnichannel go-to-market platform.
The company sells its products and services through a network of professional contractors, installers and integrators, distributors, and original equipment manufacturers, as well as retailers and online merchants.
Resideo Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Stock analysis
Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI) currently trades at $19.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.42, 36% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $55.07 per share, and 3 of the 5 models we run sit above the $19.40 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $17.84, and 2 of the 5 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $9.53 (bear) to $16.15 (bull), the price of $19.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Resideo Technologies Inc reported revenue of $7.5B in FY2025 versus $5.8B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$527M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $3.0B Mid · P/E ratio 8.0 · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) $2.44 · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 15.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −36%, REZI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$9.53Fair Value $12.42Bull$16.15
Price $19.40 · Downside -36.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.09 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV$13.70$17.84$21.2974
ROIC Compounder$13.70$17.84$23.2072
EV/EBITDA$37.18$55.07$72.9666
All 5 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV$13.70$17.84$21.2974
Multiples
EV/EBIT$37.32$55.26$73.2065
EV/EBITDA$37.18$55.07$72.9666
EV/Revenue$21.91$38.37$54.8452
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder$13.70$17.84$23.2072
The fair value above is adjusted for the spin-off of ADI Global Distribution (divided by 1.44); the models still include the spun-off business.
In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors bought shares worth $848,123, most recently on Aug 17, 2026. Buying cluster
BuyAmit Ashvin MehtaSVP, Strategy & Business Ops10,928 shares at $20.68$225,999Aug 17, 2026
BuyThomas A SurranPresident and CEO, Director15,000 shares at $20.46$306,900Aug 14, 2026
BuyJoshua Peter FosterSVP, GC & Corp Sec15,317 shares at $20.58$315,224Aug 14, 2026
BuyCD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P.10% owner1,689,758 shares at $31.35$53.0MNov 13, 2025
BuyAndrew C TeichDirector8,149 shares at $30.68$250,000Nov 10, 2025
Plus 19 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.49/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.0% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
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What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Resideo gains strength from its sharper focus on manufacturing and new safety solutions in sensing and controls, yet its main weakness is ongoing exposure to cyclical demand and input cost pressures.
Main risk: Close linkage to housing activity and renovation spending forms the biggest risk to Resideo's demand and margins under input cost pressures.
Resideo has spun off its ADI distribution arm and introduced redesigned smoke and carbon monoxide alarms for residential use. The standalone products business now emphasizes innovation in sensing and controls, yet remains closely linked to housing activity and renovation spending. Does the sharper focus on manufacturing and new safety solutions outweigh the exposure to cyclical demand and input cost pressures?
Compare Resideo Technologies Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−36.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.2% · Above median
Return on assets−6.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)5.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)7.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.09× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)8.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.02× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.39× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA6.6× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)10· sector 40
PAST (return on equity)61· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)46· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.42 versus a price of $19.40, about 36% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of REZI?
Our model-based fair value for Resideo Technologies Inc is $12.42 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.40.
What is the quality score of REZI?
Resideo Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.42 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.53, optimistic scenario $16.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Resideo Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.42, about 36% lower versus a price of $19.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $9.53, optimistic scenario $16.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
Resideo Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Resideo Technologies Inc pay a dividend?
Resideo Technologies Inc does not currently pay a dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Resideo Technologies Inc it is $12.42 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $19.40. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models in 3 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit).
Is Resideo Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, REZI trades above its calculated fair value: price $19.40, fair value $12.42, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of REZI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.42). For Resideo Technologies Inc the two are $6.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Resideo Technologies Inc worth?
The market values Resideo Technologies Inc at about $3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $19.40; our models calculate a fair value of $12.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about REZI?
Our models span a range for Resideo Technologies Inc: cautious scenario $9.53, base $12.42, optimistic $16.15 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $19.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of REZI?
Resideo Technologies Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.42 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 7.2 (the reported result was a loss). Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Resideo Technologies Inc (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 15.2%, debt of 1.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is REZI from its 52-week high?
Resideo Technologies Inc trades at $19.40, about 33% below its 52-week high of $28.78 and 20% above the low of $16.21 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Resideo Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Resideo Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $19.40, calculated fair value $12.42 (−36%), Quality Score 46/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of REZI calculated?
We run Resideo Technologies Inc through 5 models from 3 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $12.42 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Resideo Technologies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $19.40. Our model-based fair value is $12.42, about 36% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Resideo Technologies Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI) come from?
Earnings per share at Resideo Technologies Inc grew −2.2 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.9 %, EBIT margin −3.2 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Resideo Technologies Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
The market capitalisation of Resideo Technologies Inc is $3.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Resideo Technologies Inc is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
Earnings per share at Resideo Technologies Inc are $2.44 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
The net margin of Resideo Technologies Inc is 5.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Resideo Technologies Inc is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Resideo Technologies Inc is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
The operating margin of Resideo Technologies Inc is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
Revenue at Resideo Technologies Inc is growing +2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI)?
Earnings per share at Resideo Technologies Inc are growing +928% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI) generate?
The free cash flow of Resideo Technologies Inc is −$1.3B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Resideo Technologies Inc (REZI) carry?
The net debt of Resideo Technologies Inc is $2.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 9, 2026
