Resideo Technologies, Inc (REZI) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.7B
Resideo Technologies, Inc
REZI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from $16.86 to $17.66 (+4.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −17.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($22.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.31 – $44.50 · fair‑value band $13.56 – $22.73 · the $26.08 price screens above the $17.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Resideo Technologies, Inc (REZI) currently trades at $26.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.66, implying the stock looks roughly 32.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Resideo Technologies, Inc generated revenue of $7.6B at a net margin of -6.5%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.8%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $13.56 (bear case) to $22.73 (bull case); at $26.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -32%, REZI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($55.22) versus Dividend Discount ($3.39). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Resideo Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, sells, and distributes comfort, energy management, and safety and security solutions in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Products and Solutions and ADI Global Distribution segments.
Full company description
Resideo Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, sells, and distributes comfort, energy management, and safety and security solutions in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Products and Solutions and ADI Global Distribution segments. The Products and Solutions segment offers temperature and humidity control, water and air solutions, smoke and carbon monoxide detection home safety products, residential and small business security products, video cameras, other home-related lifestyle convenience solutions, cloud infrastructure, installation and maintenance tools, and related software products under the Honeywell Home, First Alert, Resideo, Braukmann, and BRK brand names. The ADI Global Distribution segment distributes low-voltage products, including security and audio-visual solutions serving commercial and residential markets through an omnichannel go-to-market platform. The company sells its products and services through a network of professional contractors, installers and integrators, distributors, and original equipment manufacturers, as well as retailers and online merchants. Resideo Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Resideo Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $7.5B in FY2025 versus $5.8B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$527M in FY2025.
REZI screens 32% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →
Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,376 | $625.61 | -55% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $45.49 | $20.64 | -55% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $232.02 | $151.92 | -35% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $326.71 | $213.01 | -35% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $385.16 | $268.10 | -30% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$232.22 | C$127.90 | -45% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $329.35 | $191.65 | -42% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$102.50 | C$76.38 | -25% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 329.20 | kr 156.35 | -53% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $44.66 | $49.47 | +11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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