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SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG stock €0.58, price €4.26, that is 86.4% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate DE · ISIN DE000A1RFMZ1

SW SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG

SMWN · XETRA
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 86% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Quality 55/100
Revenue last quarter 11% below a year ago.
Fair value €0.5800 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −34.8 %/yr in EUR)
Loss-making · -107.5% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 16/100 · thin data
Thin data
Extreme value⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€6.76 €4.16 Fair Value €0.5800 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €4.16 – €6.76 · fair‑value band €0.1160 – €1.47 · the €4.26 price screens above the €0.5800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG engages in the real estate and investment businesses in Germany. It is also rents properties. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Sindelfingen, Germany. SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is a subsidiary of RCM Beteiligungs AG.

Stock analysis

SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN) currently trades at €4.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.5800, 86% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €2.86 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the €4.26 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at €0.5500, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.1160 (bear) to €1.47 (bull), the price of €4.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG reported revenue of €777K in FY2025 versus €996K in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€371K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €16.6M Micro · P/S ratio 29.1 · EPS (TTM) €−0.1700 · Net margin −108% · Return on equity −4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −50.9% · Revenue (TTM) €605K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −86%, SMWN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.1160 Fair Value €0.5800 Bull €1.47
Price €4.26 · Downside -86.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a €0.0400 67
Rev-Margin DCF n/a n/a €0.0600 67
FCF DCF €0.0300 €0.5800 €1.47 66
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.0300 €0.5800 €1.47 66
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a €0.0400 67
10Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a €0.2200 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.13 €2.86 €4.27 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.0500 €0.5500 €1.31 66
Rev-Margin DCF n/a n/a €0.0600 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 78
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 60
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 87
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 100
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 28
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+133.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −19.4% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.0% (2021) → −64.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+48.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.4% a year for the price.

SMWN screens overvalued: fair value 86% below the price. Compare with Goodman Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 138 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −86.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −107.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −50.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −10.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.00× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 27.42× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 128.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 77
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
VICI Properties Inc VICI $24.79 $61.98 +150% vs SMWN
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.91 A$2.09 +10% vs SMWN
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $65.05 $69.27 +6% vs SMWN
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL $17.51 $18.46 +5% vs SMWN
Stockland SGP A$4.44 A$4.12 −7% vs SMWN
T82U T82U 1.37 SGD 0.9700 SGD −29% vs SMWN
The GPT Group GPT A$5.00 A$3.49 −30% vs SMWN
Goodman Group GMG A$28.17 A$16.58 −41% vs SMWN
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.30 MYR 4.22 MYR −49% vs SMWN
Charter Hall Group CHC A$21.80 A$7.53 −65% vs SMWN

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SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMWN

Frequently asked questions

Is SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.5800 versus a price of €4.26, about 86% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMWN?
Our model-based fair value for SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is €0.5800 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.26.
What is the quality score of SMWN?
SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.5800 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.1160, optimistic scenario €1.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.5800, about 86% lower versus a price of €4.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.1160, optimistic scenario €1.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €605K (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG would have to grow free cash flow by +48.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -34.8 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMWN use?
Our models discount SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.09, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG that is +48.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG grew -34.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +48.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (+48.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.78 %: that much free cash flow SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG it is €0.5800 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of €4.26. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, SMWN trades above its calculated fair value: price €4.26, fair value €0.5800, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMWN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.5800). For SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG the two are €3.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG worth?
The market values SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG at about €16.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is €4.26; our models calculate a fair value of €0.5800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMWN?
Our models span a range for SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG: cautious scenario €0.1160, base €0.5800, optimistic €1.47 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price €4.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
Balance-sheet figures for SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −4.5%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMWN from its 52-week high?
SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG trades at €4.26, about 25% below its 52-week high of €5.70 and 2% above the low of €4.16 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.5800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Stockland, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price €4.26, calculated fair value €0.5800 (−86%), Quality Score 55/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMWN calculated?
We run SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG through 6 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €0.5800 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €4.26. Our model-based fair value is €0.5800, about 86% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (€0.1160 to €1.47). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG

How large is the market capitalisation of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
The market capitalisation of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is €16.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is 29.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
Earnings per share at SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG are €−0.1700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
The net margin of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is −108% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is −1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
The operating margin of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is −50.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
Revenue at SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is growing −10.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN)?
Earnings per share at SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG are growing −84.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG (SMWN) carry?
The net debt of SM Wirtschaftsberatungs AG is €6.2M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 47.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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