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TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TAG Oil Ltd. stock C$0.04, price C$0.04, upside +7.3%, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Energy CA · ISIN CA87377N2005

TO TAG Oil Ltd. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

TAG Oil Ltd.

TAO · V
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value C$0.0376 · Fairly valued
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +60.6 %/yr in CAD)
Quality 31/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$0.7600 C$0.0350 Fair Value C$0.0376 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0350 – C$0.7600 · fair‑value band C$0.0342 – C$0.0410 · the C$0.0350 price screens below the C$0.0376 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

TAG Oil Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in Canada, the Middle East, and North Africa. The company holds interest in the Badr Oil Field, a 26,000-acre concession located in the Western Desert, Egypt.

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The company was formerly known as Durum Cons. Energy Corp. and changed its name to TAG Oil Ltd. in June 2002. TAG Oil Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO) currently trades at C$0.0350, while our estimate is C$0.0376, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.8%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: C$0.0342 (bear) to C$0.0410 (bull), the price of C$0.0350 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

TAG Oil Ltd. reported revenue of C$1.4M in FY2026 versus −C$76.8K in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$4.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap C$13.7M (≈ $9.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 10.2 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0100 · Return on equity −8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −197% · Revenue (TTM) C$1.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) −6.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 7%, TAO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear C$0.0342 Fair Value C$0.0376 Bull C$0.0410
Price C$0.0350 · Upside +7.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 17
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 54
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 8
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 37
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+60.6%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.6% (2020) → −477.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Below median
Fair Value upside +7.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −10.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −196.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −6.3% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.32× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 10.17× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)43 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 97
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $178.08 $242.64 +36% vs TAO
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$22.76 HK$26.80 +18% vs TAO
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.24 $53.41 +11% vs TAO
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $151.51 $166.94 +10% vs TAO
EQT Corporation EQT $52.00 $54.90 +6% vs TAO
Woodside Energy Group WDS $21.07 $19.39 −8% vs TAO
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.41 $39.64 −9% vs TAO
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $135.59 $92.89 −31% vs TAO
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.90 $33.18 −42% vs TAO
Aker BP ASA AKRBP kr 314.60 kr 127.39 −60% vs TAO

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TAG Oil Ltd.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TAG Oil Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAO

Frequently asked questions

Is TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is C$0.0376 versus a price of C$0.0350, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TAO?
Our estimate for TAG Oil Ltd. is C$0.0376 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.0350.
What is the quality score of TAO?
TAG Oil Ltd. has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of C$0.0376 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario C$0.0342, optimistic scenario C$0.0410. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the TAG Oil Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at C$0.0376, about +7% upside versus a price of C$0.0350 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$0.0342, optimistic scenario C$0.0410. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
TAG Oil Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TAG Oil Ltd. it is C$0.0376 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of C$0.0350.
Is TAG Oil Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, TAO trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.0350, fair value C$0.0376, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TAO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.0350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0376). For TAG Oil Ltd. the two are C$0.0026 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TAG Oil Ltd. worth?
The market values TAG Oil Ltd. at about C$13.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is C$0.0350; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0376 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TAO?
Our models span a range for TAG Oil Ltd.: cautious scenario C$0.0342, base C$0.0376, optimistic C$0.0410 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price C$0.0350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
Balance-sheet figures for TAG Oil Ltd. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −8.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TAO from its 52-week high?
TAG Oil Ltd. trades at C$0.0350, about 73% below its 52-week high of C$0.1300 and at the low of C$0.0350 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0376 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TAG Oil Ltd.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TAG Oil Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price C$0.0350, calculated fair value C$0.0376 (+7%), Quality Score 31/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. TAG Oil Ltd. currently trades 7% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was C$0.0350. Our estimate is C$0.0376, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TAG Oil Ltd. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of TAG Oil Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
The market capitalisation of TAG Oil Ltd. is C$13.7M (≈ $9.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TAG Oil Ltd. is 10.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
Earnings per share at TAG Oil Ltd. are C$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TAG Oil Ltd. is −8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TAG Oil Ltd. is −17.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
The operating margin of TAG Oil Ltd. is −197% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO)?
Revenue at TAG Oil Ltd. is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does TAG Oil Ltd. (TAO) generate?
The free cash flow of TAG Oil Ltd. is −C$9.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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