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TAG Oil Ltd (TAO) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CA · Market cap C$25.7M

PriceC$0.0700
Fair ValueC$0.0280
Upside-60.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range C$0.0280 – C$0.0280

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

Analysis

TAG Oil Ltd (TAO) currently trades at C$0.0700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0280 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

TAG Oil Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in Canada, the Middle East, and North Africa. The company holds interest in the Badr Oil Field, a 26,000-acre concession located in the Western Desert, Egypt. The company was formerly known as Durum Cons. Energy Corp. and changed its name to TAG Oil Ltd. in June 2002. TAG Oil Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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Frequently asked questions

Is TAG Oil Ltd (TAO) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0280 versus a price of C$0.0700 — about −60% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TAO?
Our 21-model fair value for TAG Oil Ltd is C$0.0280 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$0.0700.
What is the quality score of TAO?
TAG Oil Ltd has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.