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Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Turaco Gold Ltd stock A$0.48, price A$0.75, that is 35.6% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000169039

TG Turaco Gold Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Turaco Gold Ltd

TCG · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 36% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 62% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.4828 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 34/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −34.2 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/7)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.9200 A$0.0400 Fair Value A$0.4828 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0400 – A$0.9200 · fair‑value band A$0.3621 – A$0.6035 · the A$0.7500 price screens above the A$0.4828 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Turaco Gold Limited operates as a gold exploration and development company in Cote d'Ivoire.

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Its principal project is the Afema gold project comprising central mining permit and three contiguous exploration permits, an exploration permit application, and an option over an additional application covering an area of approximately 1,600 square kilometers located in south-east Côte d'Ivoire.

The company was formerly known as Manas Resources Limited and changed its name to Turaco Gold Limited in July 2021. Turaco Gold Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG) currently trades at A$0.7500, while our estimate is A$0.4828, 36% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.3621 (bear) to A$0.6035 (bull), the price of A$0.7500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Turaco Gold Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2024 versus A$34.7K in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$23.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$791M (≈ $544M) Small · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Return on equity −37.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −66.7% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) A$624K · Revenue growth (YoY) −62.4% · Free cash flow −A$31.0M · Net cash A$68.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −36%, TCG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.3621 Fair Value A$0.4828 Bull A$0.6035
Price A$0.7500 · Downside -35.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 52
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 83
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 83
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−95.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−45.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.2%
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,904.7% (2018) → −86,918.2% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TCG screens overvalued: fair value 36% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

Compare Turaco Gold Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Below median
Fair Value upside −35.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −21.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −62.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.24× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $190.46 $220.88 +16% vs TCG
Newmont Corporation NEM $119.96 $137.68 +15% vs TCG
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $274.57 $259.27 −6% vs TCG
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $93.85 $88.58 −6% vs TCG
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥27.00 ¥23.61 −13% vs TCG
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $21.53 $18.00 −16% vs TCG
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $255.79 $212.28 −17% vs TCG
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $136.62 $87.64 −36% vs TCG
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$26.73 A$16.87 −37% vs TCG
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.18 ¥15.62 −45% vs TCG

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Turaco Gold Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Turaco Gold Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TCG

Frequently asked questions

Is Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.4828 versus a price of A$0.7500, about 36% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TCG?
Our estimate for Turaco Gold Ltd is A$0.4828 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.7500.
What is the quality score of TCG?
Turaco Gold Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.4828 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.3621, optimistic scenario A$0.6035. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Turaco Gold Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.4828, about 36% lower versus a price of A$0.7500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.3621, optimistic scenario A$0.6035. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
Turaco Gold Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$624K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Turaco Gold Ltd it is A$0.4828 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.7500.
Is Turaco Gold Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, TCG trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.7500, fair value A$0.4828, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TCG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.7500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.4828). For Turaco Gold Ltd the two are A$0.2672 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Turaco Gold Ltd worth?
The market values Turaco Gold Ltd at about A$791M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.7500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.4828 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TCG?
Our models span a range for Turaco Gold Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.3621, base A$0.4828, optimistic A$0.6035 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.7500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Turaco Gold Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −37.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TCG from its 52-week high?
Turaco Gold Ltd trades at A$0.7500, about 18% below its 52-week high of A$0.9200 and 83% above the low of A$0.4100 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.4828 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Turaco Gold Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Turaco Gold Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.7500, calculated fair value A$0.4828 (−36%), Quality Score 34/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Turaco Gold Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.7500. Our estimate is A$0.4828, about 36% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Turaco Gold Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.6035). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Turaco Gold Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
The market capitalisation of Turaco Gold Ltd is A$791M (≈ $544M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
Earnings per share at Turaco Gold Ltd are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Turaco Gold Ltd is −37.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Turaco Gold Ltd is −66.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG)?
Revenue at Turaco Gold Ltd is growing −62.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG) generate?
The free cash flow of Turaco Gold Ltd is −A$31.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Turaco Gold Ltd (TCG) hold?
Turaco Gold Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$68.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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