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TG Metals Ltd (TG6) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of TG Metals Ltd stock A$0.07, price A$0.18, that is 62.2% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000217689

TM TG Metals Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

TG Metals Ltd

TG6 · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 62% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +1299.1 %/yr in AUD)
Fair value A$0.0680 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 30/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.10 A$0.0900 Fair Value A$0.0680 May 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range A$0.0900 – A$1.10 · fair‑value band A$0.0510 – A$0.1020 · the A$0.1800 price screens above the A$0.0680 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

TG Metals Limited engages in the discovery, exploration, and development of mineral deposits in Western Australia. The company explores for lithium and gold deposits.

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Its flagship project comprises the Lake Johnston project that includes a tenement area of approximately 414 square kilometers located in the Goldfields-Esperance region of Western Australia. TG Metals Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

TG Metals Ltd (TG6) currently trades at A$0.1800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0680, 62% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0510 (bear) to A$0.1020 (bull), the price of A$0.1800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

TG Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$602K in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$2.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$24.5M (≈ $16.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 40.7 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −17.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −18.1% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) A$602K · Revenue growth (YoY) +872% · Free cash flow −A$1.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −62%, TG6 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0510 Fair Value A$0.0680 Bull A$0.1020
Price A$0.1800 · Downside -62.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1200 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1200 51

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 78
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 48
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 39
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 39
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TG6 screens overvalued: fair value 62% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Below median
Fair Value upside −62.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −14.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 872.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.50× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 40.74× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 75
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $9.50 $12.61 +33% vs TG6
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.74 $15.90 +8% vs TG6
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $31.53 $32.54 +3% vs TG6
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $27.99 $26.98 −4% vs TG6
International Gemological Institute Limited IGIL ₹407.40 ₹338.90 −17% vs TG6
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.70 ¥13.23 −21% vs TG6
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$32.55 C$14.94 −54% vs TG6
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$40.64 C$15.63 −62% vs TG6
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $19.53 $5.16 −74% vs TG6
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,620 IDR 881.70 IDR −76% vs TG6

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TG Metals Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TG Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TG6

Frequently asked questions

Is TG Metals Ltd (TG6) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0680 versus a price of A$0.1800, about 62% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TG6?
Our model-based fair value for TG Metals Ltd is A$0.0680 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1800.
What is the quality score of TG6?
TG Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0680 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0510, optimistic scenario A$0.1020. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TG Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0680, about 62% lower versus a price of A$0.1800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0510, optimistic scenario A$0.1020. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
TG Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$602K (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TG Metals Ltd it is A$0.0680 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.1800. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is TG Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, TG6 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1800, fair value A$0.0680, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TG6?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0680). For TG Metals Ltd the two are A$0.1120 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TG Metals Ltd worth?
The market values TG Metals Ltd at about A$24.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1800; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0680 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TG6?
Our models span a range for TG Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0510, base A$0.0680, optimistic A$0.1020 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.1800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Balance-sheet figures for TG Metals Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −17.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TG6 from its 52-week high?
TG Metals Ltd trades at A$0.1800, about 31% below its 52-week high of A$0.2600 and 38% above the low of A$0.1300 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0680 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TG Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TG Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.1800, calculated fair value A$0.0680 (−62%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TG6 calculated?
We run TG Metals Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0680 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. TG Metals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.1800. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0680, about 62% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TG Metals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1020). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0510 to A$0.1020) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of TG Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
The market capitalisation of TG Metals Ltd is A$24.5M (≈ $16.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TG Metals Ltd is 40.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Earnings per share at TG Metals Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TG Metals Ltd is −17.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TG Metals Ltd is −18.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Revenue at TG Metals Ltd is growing +872% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does TG Metals Ltd (TG6) generate?
The free cash flow of TG Metals Ltd is −A$1.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does TG Metals Ltd (TG6) hold?
TG Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$551K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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