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TG Metals Ltd (TG6) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what TG Metals Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000217689

TM Thin data Jun 24, 2026

TG Metals Ltd

TG6 · AU

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value A$0.2635 · Undervalued (+12%)
!Quality 25/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +1299.1 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.10 A$0.0900 Fair Value A$0.2635 May 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range A$0.0900 – A$1.10 · fair‑value band A$0.1955 – A$0.3230 · the A$0.2350 price screens below the A$0.2635 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Company profile

TG Metals Limited engages in the discovery, exploration, and development of mineral deposits in Western Australia. The company explores for lithium and gold deposits. Its flagship project comprises the Lake Johnston project that includes a tenement area of approximately 414 square kilometers located in the Goldfields-Esperance region of Western Australia.

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TG Metals Limited engages in the discovery, exploration, and development of mineral deposits in Western Australia. The company explores for lithium and gold deposits. Its flagship project comprises the Lake Johnston project that includes a tenement area of approximately 414 square kilometers located in the Goldfields-Esperance region of Western Australia. TG Metals Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

TG Metals Ltd (TG6) currently trades at A$0.2350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2635, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.1955 (bear) to A$0.3230 (bull), the price of A$0.2350 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

TG Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$602K in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$1.4M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap A$35.2M (≈ $24.7M) · P/S ratio 58.6 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −14.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.5% · Revenue (TTM) A$602K · Revenue growth (YoY) +872% · Free cash flow −A$6.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 12%, TG6 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.1955 Fair Value A$0.2635 Bull A$0.3230
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0600 A$0.0900 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0600 A$0.0900 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 94
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Below median
Fair Value upside +15% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 872% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.00× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 41.23× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)49 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 94
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 4,870 IDR 871.64 IDR −82%
Hecla Mining Company HL $18.27 $16.28 −11%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $34.70 $28.79 −17%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $11.41 $15.10 +32%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$40.80 C$44.88 +10%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$41.59 C$15.84 −62%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $33.73 $32.40 −4%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $24.76 $6.07 −75%
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. MBMA 525.00 IDR 73.59 IDR −86%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥18.58 ¥2.01 −89%

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TG Metals Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.2635 +11%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TG Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TG6

Frequently asked questions

Is TG Metals Ltd (TG6) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2635 versus a price of A$0.2350, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TG6?
Our model-based fair value for TG Metals Ltd is A$0.2635 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2350.
What is the quality score of TG6?
TG Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2635 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1955, optimistic scenario A$0.3230. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TG Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2635, about +12% upside versus a price of A$0.2350 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1955, optimistic scenario A$0.3230. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
TG Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$602K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TG Metals Ltd it is A$0.2635 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.2350. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TG Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, TG6 trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2350, fair value A$0.2635, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TG6?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2635). For TG Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0285 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TG Metals Ltd worth?
The market values TG Metals Ltd at about A$35.2M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2350; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2635 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TG6?
Our models span a range for TG Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1955, base A$0.2635, optimistic A$0.3230 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.2350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Balance-sheet figures for TG Metals Ltd (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −14.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TG6 from its 52-week high?
TG Metals Ltd trades at A$0.2350, about 35% below its 52-week high of A$0.3600 and 81% above the low of A$0.1300 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2635 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TG Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TG Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.2350, calculated fair value A$0.2635 (+12%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TG6 calculated?
We run TG Metals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.2635, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. TG Metals Ltd currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.2350. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2635, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TG Metals Ltd right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of TG Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
The market capitalisation of TG Metals Ltd is A$35.2M (≈ $24.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TG Metals Ltd is 58.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Earnings per share at TG Metals Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TG Metals Ltd is −14.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TG Metals Ltd is −17.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at TG Metals Ltd (TG6)?
Revenue at TG Metals Ltd is growing +872% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does TG Metals Ltd (TG6) generate?
The free cash flow of TG Metals Ltd is −A$6.7M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does TG Metals Ltd (TG6) hold?
TG Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$601K net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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