Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA stock $12.72, price $21.54, that is 41.0% below the price, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.91 – $35.32 · fair‑value band $6.50 – $23.45 · the $21.54 price screens above the $12.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. engages in transportation of natural gas, and production and commercialization of natural gas liquids in Argentina and internationally.
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The company operates through four segments: Natural Gas Transportation Services; Liquids Production and Commercialization; Midstream; and Telecommunications.
The Natural Gas Transportation segment transports natural gas through pipeline system to distribution companies, power plants, and industrial customers. It provides operation and maintenance services for the natural gas transportation facilities.
The Liquids Production and Commercialization segment produces and commercializes natural gas liquids, such as ethane, liquid petroleum gas, natural gasoline, propane, and butane. This segment offers certain related services comprising reception, storage, and dispatch of the liquids.
The Midstream segment provides natural gas conditioning services; treatment, removal of impurities and natural gas compression, including the collection and transport of natural gas; and inspection and maintenance of pipelines and compressor plants services.
In addition, this segment offers steam generation for electricity production and management services for expansion works and steam generation for the production of electricity. The Telecommunications segment offers data transmission services through a network of digital terrestrial radio relay.
It serves residential, commercial, industrial, and electric power generation end users. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Compañía de Inversiones de Energía S.A.
Stock analysis
Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS) currently trades at $21.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.72, 41% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $86.47 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the $21.54 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $9.00, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.50 (bear) to $23.45 (bull), the price of $21.54 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR reported revenue of 2.0T ARS in FY2025 versus 527B ARS in FY2021, a compound +39.4%/yr. Reported net income was 490B ARS in FY2025, compounding +40.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.2B Mid · P/E ratio 8.2 · P/S ratio 2.02 · EPS (TTM) $2.66 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 24.7% · Return on equity 13.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 73 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −41%, TGS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$6.50Fair Value $12.72Bull$23.45
Price $21.54 · Downside -41.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.28 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV$20.19$23.73$26.7872
Residual Income$13.37$16.99$24.5872
FCF DCF$19.95$31.91$68.9171
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$19.95$31.91$68.9171
Owner Earnings$13.22$32.31$70.3467
5Y Revenue Exit$9.44$16.35$30.6566
5Y EBITDA Exit$19.31$36.32$69.6568
5Y P/E Exit$19.99$47.78$85.6064
10Y Revenue Exit$12.53$26.08$33.2463
10Y EBITDA Exit$19.80$46.64$93.1661
10Y P/E Exit$20.28$48.05$93.5257
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$14.33$99.97$140.2958
Lynch FV$51.65$73.78$95.9157
PEG = 1.0$51.65$73.78$95.9153
EPV$20.19$23.73$26.7872
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$9.97$19.51$29.0162
DDM Multi-Stage$9.97$17.04$20.6463
Multiples
P/E Multiple$22.13$29.51$36.8961
P/S Multiple$7.69$10.26$12.8256
P/B Multiple$18.13$24.18$30.2253
EV/EBIT$24.03$33.28$42.5364
EV/EBITDA$17.47$24.54$31.6165
EV/Revenue$3.44$6.52$9.6050
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$6.72$9.00$13.4352
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$18.55$37.16$66.9671
Rev-Margin DCF$10.59$19.14$37.1966
Economic Profit
Residual Income$13.37$16.99$24.5872
ROIC Compounder$26.78$39.46$48.9368
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$60.53$86.47$112.4164
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+63.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ARS (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+75.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+72.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Per share before 2019divided by the spin-off factor 1.03
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.41% → 43%
2025 sits 124% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in ARS, Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about −6.0% a year for the price and −7.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (89 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Operates Argentina's largest gas pipeline network with committed expansion into higher-value midstream via long-term offtake agreements, yet the regulated environment may limit upside in a commoditized sector.
Main risk: Regulatory constraints typical of energy infrastructure could restrict growth opportunities and margins from its pipeline network and new liquids processing facilities.
Transportadora de Gas del Sur runs Argentina’s largest natural gas pipeline network yet has committed to a major expansion into liquids processing and exports from Vaca Muerta. The Integrated NGLs Project involves new facilities, a pipeline to Bahía Blanca and a marine terminal, supported by long-term offtake agreements with producers covering most capacity. Will the shift into higher-value midstream activities deliver more stable growth than the added scale and project risks?
Compare Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 43 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−41.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.7% · Above median
Return on assets9.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)26.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)38.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)24.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.47× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)8.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.60× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)2.75× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)18.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA5.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)55· sector 53
HEALTH (low debt)77· sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)60· sector 73
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TGS
Frequently asked questions
Is Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.72 versus a price of $21.54, about 41% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TGS?
Our model-based fair value for Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is $12.72 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.54.
What is the quality score of TGS?
Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.72 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.50, optimistic scenario $23.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.72, about 41% lower versus a price of $21.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.50, optimistic scenario $23.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8T ARS (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR pay a dividend?
Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA currently shows a dividend yield of 3.01% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA has a dividend yield of 3.0%. The payout ratio is 64.0% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 54.9%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.00 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA would have to grow free cash flow by +7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +64.9 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TGS use?
Our models discount Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA that is +7.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA grew +64.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +7.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (+7.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.38 %: that much free cash flow Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA it is $12.72 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $21.54. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, TGS trades above its calculated fair value: price $21.54, fair value $12.72, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TGS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.72). For Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA the two are $8.82 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR worth?
The market values Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA at about $3.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $21.54; our models calculate a fair value of $12.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TGS?
Our models span a range for Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA: cautious scenario $6.50, base $12.72, optimistic $23.45 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $21.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TGS?
Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.2 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.72 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 11.9 (reported for FY2025: 10.2). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2019 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 9.8. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 5.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 13.7%, debt of 0.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TGS from its 52-week high?
Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA trades at $21.54, about 39% below its 52-week high of $35.32 and at the low of $21.54 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $21.54, calculated fair value $12.72 (−41%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TGS calculated?
We run Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $12.72 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $21.54. Our model-based fair value is $12.72, about 41% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($6.50 to $23.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
The market capitalisation of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is $3.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is 2.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
Earnings per share at Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA are $2.66 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
The dividend yield of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is 3.0% (payout 64.0%, on adjusted earnings, reported 54.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
The net margin of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is 24.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is 13.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is 23.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
The operating margin of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is 38.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
Revenue at Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is growing +24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS)?
Earnings per share at Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA are growing −1.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS) carry?
The net debt of Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA is 869B ARS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026