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Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tinybeans Group Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.04, that is 22.6% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services AU · ISIN AU000000TNY6

TG Tinybeans Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Tinybeans Group Ltd

TNY · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 23% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +98% vs. a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0302 · Overvalued
Quality 35/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.0 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -1.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 21/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.24 A$0.0350 Fair Value A$0.0302 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0350 – A$1.24 · fair‑value band A$0.0269 – A$0.0335 · the A$0.0390 price screens above the A$0.0302 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Tinybeans Group Limited operates a consumer subscription platform for parents and families in the United States, Australia, and internationally.

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It operates Tinybeans, a private photo-sharing application and media platform that provides a private, secure, and authentic space for intentional parents to connect with loved ones. Tinybeans Group Limited was founded in 2012 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY) currently trades at A$0.0390, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0302, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0269 (bear) to A$0.0335 (bull), the price of A$0.0390 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Tinybeans Group Ltd reported revenue of $6.6M in FY2026 versus $10.9M in FY2022, a compound −11.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$99.9K in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$7.9M (≈ $5.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.11 · Net margin −1.4% · Return on equity −3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −52.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 8.9% · Revenue (TTM) $7.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) +98.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 21 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at −23%, TNY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0269 Fair Value A$0.0302 Bull A$0.0335
Price A$0.0390 · Downside -22.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 74
All 1 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 74

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 30
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 58
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 70
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 27
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 0
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+37.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +23.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−46.3% (2021) → −8.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TNY screens overvalued: fair value 23% below the price. Compare with Alphabet Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 122 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −22.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −1.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −1.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 8.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 98.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.41× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.77× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 33
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Kuaishou Technology 1024 HK$28.92 HK$86.76 +200% vs TNY
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$37.28 HK$74.14 +99% vs TNY
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$419.80 HK$710.45 +69% vs TNY
NAVER Corporation 035420 190,200 KRW 314,922 KRW +66% vs TNY
REA Group REA A$173.54 A$192.29 +11% vs TNY
Alphabet Inc GOOG $283.93 $312.32 +10% vs TNY
Meta Platforms, Inc META $610.15 $671.17 +10% vs TNY
Reddit, Inc RDDT $95.10 $104.61 +10% vs TNY
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $603.01 $612.82 +2% vs TNY
Baidu, Inc BIDU $81.87 $54.07 −34% vs TNY

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Tinybeans Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tinybeans Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TNY

Frequently asked questions

Is Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0302 versus a price of A$0.0390, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TNY?
Our model-based fair value for Tinybeans Group Ltd is A$0.0302 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0390.
What is the quality score of TNY?
Tinybeans Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0302 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0269, optimistic scenario A$0.0335. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tinybeans Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0302, about 23% lower versus a price of A$0.0390 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0269, optimistic scenario A$0.0335. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
Tinybeans Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tinybeans Group Ltd it is A$0.0302 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.0390. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (DCF Models).
Is Tinybeans Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, TNY trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0390, fair value A$0.0302, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TNY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0390); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0302). For Tinybeans Group Ltd the two are A$0.0088 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tinybeans Group Ltd worth?
The market values Tinybeans Group Ltd at about A$7.9M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0390; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0302 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TNY?
Our models span a range for Tinybeans Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0269, base A$0.0302, optimistic A$0.0335 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.0390). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tinybeans Group Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −3.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TNY from its 52-week high?
Tinybeans Group Ltd trades at A$0.0390, about 76% below its 52-week high of A$0.1600 and 11% above the low of A$0.0350 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0302 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tinybeans Group Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tinybeans Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.0390, calculated fair value A$0.0302 (−23%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TNY calculated?
We run Tinybeans Group Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: DCF Models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0302 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Tinybeans Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$0.0390. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0302, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tinybeans Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0335). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Tinybeans Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
The market capitalisation of Tinybeans Group Ltd is A$7.9M (≈ $5.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tinybeans Group Ltd is 1.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
The net margin of Tinybeans Group Ltd is −1.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tinybeans Group Ltd is −3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tinybeans Group Ltd is −52.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
The operating margin of Tinybeans Group Ltd is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY)?
Revenue at Tinybeans Group Ltd is growing +98.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY) generate?
The free cash flow of Tinybeans Group Ltd is −$879K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Tinybeans Group Ltd (TNY) hold?
Tinybeans Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, $1.6M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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