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Data-driven stock valuation

Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS stock TRY 17.88, price TRY 9.37, upside +90.8%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services TR · ISIN TRATSKBW91N0

TS Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS logo Thin data Oct 31, 2026

Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS

TSKB · IS
Undervalued, but in a downtrend

The stock costs 48% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 17.88 TRY · Strongly undervalued (48%)
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +57.8 %/yr in TRY)
Highly profitable · 57.2% net margin (TTM)
Generates free cash flow
5.7% dividend yield · Well covered
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Wide moat 74/100
Costs just 2.5 times its yearly profit.
Quality 58/100
Moderate debt
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

13.86 TRY 1.13 TRY Fair Value 17.88 TRY Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.13 TRY – 13.86 TRY · fair‑value band 13.41 TRY – 22.35 TRY · the 9.37 TRY price screens below the 17.88 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 31, 2026.

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Company profile

Türkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi A.S. operates as a development and investment bank in Turkey.

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The company offers corporate loans for renewable energy, industrial investments, energy and resource efficiency, women's employment and equal opportunity, environmental investments, investments in developing regions, research and development and innovation, occupational health and safety, education and health investments, and working capital financing.

It also provides project finance for energy generation and power plants, including hydroelectric, geothermal, wind, solar, biomass, and combined cycle natural gas plants; electricity and natural gas distribution projects; mergers and acquisitions; logistics, transportation, and telecommunications; and public - private partnership projects.

In addition, the company offers other loan products, such as financial leasing, foreign trade finance, letter of guarantees/external guarantees/letter of credits, export credits / Eximbank aval credits, and country loans.

Further, the company provides corporate finance products and services consisting of public offering preparation and brokerage, debt instrument issues, and mergers and acquisitions advisory; derivatives products comprising forward contracts, options, caps and floors, swap transactions, and swaptions; derivative transactions; brokerage for stock and bonds trading; currency exchange, repo, warrant, and foreign derivative transactions; securities loans; and portfolio management and investment consulting services.

Additionally, it provides financial planning and strategy, feasibility, valuation, and restructuring services, as well as sectoral analysis studies; engineering and technical consultancy services; and financial technical advisory, real estate appraisal, economic research, and sustainability consultancy services.

Türkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi A.S. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB) currently trades at 9.37 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.88 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 47.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 21.38 TRY per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the 9.37 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 10.93 TRY, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 13.41 TRY (bear) to 22.35 TRY (bull), the price of 9.37 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS reported revenue of 21.1B TRL in FY2025 versus 3.5B TRL in FY2021, a compound +56.1%/yr. Reported net income was 11.3B TRL in FY2025, compounding +79.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 26.2B TRY (≈ $525M) Small · P/E ratio 2.5 · P/S ratio 1.41 · EPS (TTM) 3.81 TRY · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 57.2% · Return on equity 23.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 74 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 91%, TSKB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 13.41 TRY Fair Value 17.88 TRY Bull 22.35 TRY
Price 9.37 TRY · Upside +90.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.75 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 17.92 TRY 21.38 TRY 27.06 TRY 76
P/E Multiple 39.43 TRY 52.57 TRY 65.72 TRY 63
P/B Multiple 9.66 TRY 12.87 TRY 16.09 TRY 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple 39.43 TRY 52.57 TRY 65.72 TRY 63
P/B Multiple 9.66 TRY 12.87 TRY 16.09 TRY 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.15 TRY 10.93 TRY 16.31 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 17.92 TRY 21.38 TRY 27.06 TRY 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 44
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 87
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 25
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 75
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 16
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 8
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +42.7% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+80.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+75.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.7%
2025 sits 63% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1001 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +90.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 23.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 57.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 69.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 5.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.71× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 2.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.57× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.41× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow 1.9× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.70× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)95 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)65 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 52

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥43.18 ¥52.73 +22% vs TSKB
BNP Paribas SA BNP €87.04 €106.01 +22% vs TSKB
Itaú Unibanco Holding ITUB $7.17 $6.90 −4% vs TSKB
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €5.95 €4.53 −24% vs TSKB
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €74.40 €50.44 −32% vs TSKB
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 28.32 SGD 18.20 SGD −36% vs TSKB
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.61 $5.92 −38% vs TSKB
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹700.00 ₹406.39 −42% vs TSKB
DBS Group D05 71.71 SGD 40.39 SGD −44% vs TSKB
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,387 ₹615.63 −56% vs TSKB

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Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSKB

Frequently asked questions

Is Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 17.88 TRY versus a price of 9.37 TRY, about +91% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TSKB?
Our model-based fair value for Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 17.88 TRY (as of Oct 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9.37 TRY.
What is the quality score of TSKB?
Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 17.88 TRY (as of Oct 31, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.41 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.35 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 17.88 TRY, about +91% upside versus a price of 9.37 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 13.41 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.35 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.7B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 31, 2026).
Does Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS pay a dividend?
Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS currently shows a dividend yield of 5.72% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 31, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS it is 17.88 TRY per share (as of Oct 31, 2026), against a price of 9.37 TRY. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, TSKB trades below its calculated fair value: price 9.37 TRY, fair value 17.88 TRY, a gap of about +91% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TSKB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (9.37 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (17.88 TRY). For Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS the two are 8.51 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS worth?
The market values Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS at about 26.2B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 31, 2026). Per share that is 9.37 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 17.88 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TSKB?
Our models span a range for Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS: cautious scenario 13.41 TRY, base 17.88 TRY, optimistic 22.35 TRY per share (as of Oct 31, 2026, price 9.37 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TSKB?
Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.5 (as of Oct 31, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 17.88 TRY is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 3.4. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 0.6, P/S 1.4.
What is the PEG ratio of TSKB?
The PEG ratio of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 0.70 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 31, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (as of Oct 31, 2026): return on equity 23.7%, debt of 0.71 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TSKB from its 52-week high?
Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS trades at 9.37 TRY, about 32% below its 52-week high of 13.73 TRY and 6% above the low of 8.87 TRY (as of Nov 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 17.88 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 31, 2026: price 9.37 TRY, calculated fair value 17.88 TRY (+91%), Quality Score 58/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TSKB calculated?
We run Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 17.88 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS currently trades 48 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
The closing price on Nov 2, 2026 was 9.37 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 17.88 TRY, about +91% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (13.41 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
The market capitalisation of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 26.2B TRY (≈ $525M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 1.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
Earnings per share at Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS are 3.81 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
The dividend yield of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 5.7% (payout 14.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
The net margin of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 57.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 23.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
The operating margin of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 69.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
Revenue at Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is growing −2.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB)?
Earnings per share at Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS are growing −10.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB) generate?
The free cash flow of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 13.5B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS (TSKB) carry?
The net debt of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi AS is 254B TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 18.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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