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Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xpedra Resources Limited stock A$0.02, price A$0.02, that is 9.2% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU

XR Xpedra Resources Limited logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Xpedra Resources Limited

XPD · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 9% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 48/100
Mixed Growth
Mixed vs. peers (3/6)
Revenue last quarter 43% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0163 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.5765 A$0.0090 Fair Value A$0.0163 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0090 – A$0.5765 · fair‑value band A$0.0159 – A$0.0167 · the A$0.0180 price screens above the A$0.0163 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Xpedra Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and exploration of mineral resource properties in Peru and Canada. The company explores for uranium, lithium, copper, antimony-gold, silver, precious mineral, and rare earth element deposits.

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The company was formerly known as Thunderbird Resources Limited and changed its name to Xpedra Resources Limited in December 2025. Xpedra Resources Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD) currently trades at A$0.0180, while our estimate is A$0.0163, 9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0159 (bear) to A$0.0167 (bull), the price of A$0.0180 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2005: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2005.

Xpedra Resources Limited reported revenue of A$14.2K in FY2025 versus A$324 in FY2018, a compound +71.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$7.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$13.4M (≈ $9.2M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −101% · Return on assets (EBIT) −34.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9,831% · Revenue (TTM) A$10.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) −43.2% · Free cash flow −A$1.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −9%, XPD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0159 Fair Value A$0.0163 Bull A$0.0167
Price A$0.0180 · Downside -9.2%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 9
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 30
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 15
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2005: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2005.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17,390,000.0% (2019) → −86,853.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

XPD screens overvalued: fair value 9% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 150 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/5 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −103.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −43.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.97× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)21 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $9.36 $12.73 +36% vs XPD
Hecla Mining Company HL $14.29 $16.21 +13% vs XPD
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $32.15 $32.54 +1% vs XPD
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $27.08 $26.98 +0% vs XPD
International Gemological Institute Limited IGIL ₹426.80 ₹338.90 −21% vs XPD
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $19.33 $15.34 −21% vs XPD
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.98 ¥13.23 −22% vs XPD
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$32.07 C$15.00 −53% vs XPD
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$40.87 C$15.63 −62% vs XPD
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,730 IDR 881.70 IDR −76% vs XPD

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Xpedra Resources Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xpedra Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XPD

Frequently asked questions

Is Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0163 versus a price of A$0.0180, about 9% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XPD?
Our estimate for Xpedra Resources Limited is A$0.0163 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0180.
What is the quality score of XPD?
Xpedra Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0163 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0159, optimistic scenario A$0.0167. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Xpedra Resources Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0163, about 9% lower versus a price of A$0.0180 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0159, optimistic scenario A$0.0167. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
Xpedra Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$10.0K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xpedra Resources Limited it is A$0.0163 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0180.
Is Xpedra Resources Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, XPD trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0180, fair value A$0.0163, a gap of about −9% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XPD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0180); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0163). For Xpedra Resources Limited the two are A$0.0017 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xpedra Resources Limited worth?
The market values Xpedra Resources Limited at about A$13.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0180; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0163 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XPD?
Our models span a range for Xpedra Resources Limited: cautious scenario A$0.0159, base A$0.0163, optimistic A$0.0167 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0180). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xpedra Resources Limited (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −101.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XPD from its 52-week high?
Xpedra Resources Limited trades at A$0.0180, about 42% below its 52-week high of A$0.0310 and 13% above the low of A$0.0160 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0163 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xpedra Resources Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xpedra Resources Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0180, calculated fair value A$0.0163 (−9%), Quality Score 48/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Xpedra Resources Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0180. Our estimate is A$0.0163, about 9% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xpedra Resources Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0167). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0159 to A$0.0167), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Xpedra Resources Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
The market capitalisation of Xpedra Resources Limited is A$13.4M (≈ $9.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
Earnings per share at Xpedra Resources Limited are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xpedra Resources Limited is −101% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xpedra Resources Limited is −34.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
The operating margin of Xpedra Resources Limited is 9,831% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD)?
Revenue at Xpedra Resources Limited is growing −43.2% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD) generate?
The free cash flow of Xpedra Resources Limited is −A$1.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Xpedra Resources Limited (XPD) hold?
Xpedra Resources Limited holds more cash than debt, A$3.1M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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