Shenzhen Textile Holdings Co Ltd (000045) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 5.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥2.99 to ¥4.19 (+40.1%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price +8.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.06 – ¥16.18 · fair‑value band ¥3.14 – ¥5.24 · the ¥10.06 price screens above the ¥4.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Textile Holdings Co Ltd (000045) currently trades at ¥10.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.19, implying the stock looks roughly 58.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Textile Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 169M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.14 (bear case) to ¥5.24 (bull case); at ¥10.06, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -58%, 000045 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.26) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Textile (Holdings) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, sale, and marketing of polarizers in China and internationally. It operates through two segments, Polarizer Business; and Property Leasing and Other.
Full company description
Shenzhen Textile (Holdings) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, sale, and marketing of polarizers in China and internationally. It operates through two segments, Polarizer Business; and Property Leasing and Other. The company offers polarizers for liquid crystal displays, TN, STN, TFT, OLED, 3D, dye films, optical film for touch screen, and other fields for use in televisions, laptops, monitors, vehicles, industrial controls, instruments and meters, smartphones, wearable devices, 3D glasses, and sunglasses. It is also involved in the textile and apparel business; operation and management of its own properties; and property leasing and management. Shenzhen Textile (Holdings) Co., Ltd. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Textile Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥68.4M in FY2025, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2021.
000045 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Tongkun Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 320 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$42.10 | HK$68.24 | +62% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥22.67 | ¥14.53 | -36% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.79 | ¥14.35 | +12% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 25.64 TWD | -7% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,089 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥71.55 | ¥11.85 | -83% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹591.90 | ₹437.53 | -26% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 324.31 TRY | +86% |
| Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 | 54.10 TWD | 133.24 TWD | +146% |
| Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV | ₹165.23 | ₹47.77 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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