Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co (000096) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +10.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.97 – ¥22.17 · fair‑value band ¥2.76 – ¥3.85 · the ¥7.77 price screens above the ¥3.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co (000096) currently trades at ¥7.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.24, implying the stock looks roughly 58.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 775M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.76 (bear case) to ¥3.85 (bull case); at ¥7.77, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -58%, 000096 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.48) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.8200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale, retail and warehousing of refined oil in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale, retail and warehousing of refined oil in China and internationally. The company is involved in the gasoline and diesel petroleum business; venue leasing and property management; storage, transportation, and packaging of chemical raw materials and petroleum products; agency import business of fuel oil; power supply, heating, and provision of related technical consultation and technical services, as well as power generation and supply business. It also engages in chemical trade and liquid chemical storage business, equity investment in securities and power companies. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China. Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Shenzhen Shennan Petroleum Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥114M in FY2025, compounding +14.0%/yr from FY2021.
000096 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
Compare Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co (000096) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 000096?
What is the quality score of 000096?
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co (000096)?
What is the net profit margin of 000096?
Does Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.