Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co (000528) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 17.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +2.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 98% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥10.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥10.63 to ¥20.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.06 – ¥12.53 · fair‑value band ¥10.63 – ¥20.74 · the ¥8.36 price screens below the ¥16.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co (000528) currently trades at ¥8.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.59, implying the stock looks roughly 98.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co generated revenue of 34.1B CNY at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at 1.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.63 (bear case) to ¥20.74 (bull case); at ¥8.36, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 98%, 000528 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥19.05) versus Growth DCF (¥5.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells construction machinery in China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Earth-Moving Machinery, Other Construction Machinery and Parts, Prestressed Machinery, and Leasing Business.
Full company description
Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells construction machinery in China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Earth-Moving Machinery, Other Construction Machinery and Parts, Prestressed Machinery, and Leasing Business. It offers excavators, wheel loaders, dozers, motor graders, rollers, pavers, cold planers, skid steer loaders, backhoe loaders, cranes, aerial work platforms, mining trucks, drilling rigs, diaphragm wall grab, multi-functional drilling rigs, trench cutter, construction hoist, tower cranes, air compressors, concrete, and material handling equipment. The company also provides forklifts, road machinery, mining machinery, agricultural machinery, etc. In addition, it offers OVM prestressed anchor system products; prestressed and special bridge construction equipment; engineering cables; seismic isolation products comprising engineering rubber bearings and dampers; and bridge expansion joints. Further, the company is involved in leasing business. It serves agriculture, demolition, forestry, general construction, municipal engineering, material handling, mining, oil and gas, ports, and quarry and aggregates industries. Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd. was founded in 1958 and is based in Liuzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥33.1B in FY2025 versus ¥28.7B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.6B in FY2025, compounding +12.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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