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Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd ¥1.55, price ¥5.22, upside -70.3%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000000DK9

BR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd

000530 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥1.55 · Strongly overvalued (−70%)
!Quality 52/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +20.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.96% dividend yield
!Trails peers (2/14)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 7 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥8.54 ¥3.05 Fair Value ¥1.55 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.05 – ¥8.54 · fair‑value band ¥1.16 – ¥1.93 · the ¥5.22 price screens above the ¥1.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacturing, sale, installation, and maintenance of refrigeration, heating, and air conditioning equipment in China and internationally.

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Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacturing, sale, installation, and maintenance of refrigeration, heating, and air conditioning equipment in China and internationally. The company offers piston type, screw type, vortex type, and lithium bromide absorption refrigeration machines/units, as well as pressure vessels, combination warehouses, controlled atmosphere fresh-keeping warehouses, refrigeration stations, quick freezing machines, and heat pumps. It provides maintenance services, including inspection and patrol, routine maintenance, emergency services, technical training, and overhaul workshop; and digital services. In addition, the company engages in the manufacturing and sale of gas compression machinery; building hardware; and plumbing equipment. It serves industrial refrigeration and heating, commercial freezing and refrigeration, air conditioning and environment, smart cold chain, industrial internet and intelligent control, and energy storage thermal management and CCUS industries. The company was formerly known as Dalian Refrigeration Company Limited and changed its name to Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co., Ltd. in March 2020. Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Dalian, China.

Stock analysis

Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530) currently trades at ¥5.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.55, implying the stock looks roughly 236.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.51 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥5.22 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.6200, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.16 (bear) to ¥1.93 (bull), the price of ¥5.22 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was 62.0M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.4B CNY (≈ $657M) · P/E ratio 80.7 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −70%, 000530 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.16 Fair Value ¥1.55 Bull ¥1.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0146 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥1.23 ¥1.61 ¥2.20 77
Residual Income ¥2.59 ¥2.44 ¥1.87 75
EPV ¥1.85 ¥2.04 ¥2.21 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥1.23 ¥1.61 ¥2.20 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5000 ¥1.82 ¥2.46 61
Lynch FV ¥0.4300 ¥0.6200 ¥0.8100 58
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.4300 ¥0.6200 ¥0.8100 55
EPV ¥1.85 ¥2.04 ¥2.21 72
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.16 ¥1.55 ¥1.93 61
P/S Multiple ¥0.9400 ¥1.25 ¥1.56 56
P/B Multiple ¥0.9400 ¥1.25 ¥1.56 53
EV/EBIT ¥2.54 ¥3.19 ¥3.83 65
EV/EBITDA ¥3.91 ¥5.01 ¥6.11 66
EV/Revenue ¥1.99 ¥2.58 ¥3.17 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.87 ¥2.51 ¥3.74 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.59 ¥2.44 ¥1.87 75
ROIC Compounder ¥1.85 ¥2.04 ¥2.21 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.8200 ¥1.17 ¥1.52 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.6% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs −8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

000530 screens 237% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 832 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −70% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 80.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.40× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.03× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.07× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)19 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

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Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
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Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 385.10 kr 199.07 −48%

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Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥1.55 −237%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000530

Frequently asked questions

Is Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.55 versus a price of ¥5.22, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000530?
Our model-based fair value for Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is ¥1.55 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.22.
What is the quality score of 000530?
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.55 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.16, optimistic scenario ¥1.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.55, about −70% upside versus a price of ¥5.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.16, optimistic scenario ¥1.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd it is ¥1.55 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥5.22. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 000530 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.22, fair value ¥1.55, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000530?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.55). For Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd the two are ¥3.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd worth?
The market values Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd at about 4.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.22; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000530?
Our models span a range for Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.16, base ¥1.55, optimistic ¥1.93 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥5.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000530?
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 80.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.55 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 5.1, P/B 1.4, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 20.4.
What is the PEG ratio of 000530?
The PEG ratio of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is 5.07 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000530 from its 52-week high?
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd trades at ¥5.22, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥8.11 and 16% above the low of ¥4.51 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥5.22, calculated fair value ¥1.55 (−70%), Quality Score 52/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000530 calculated?
We run Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥5.22. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.55, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530) come from?
Earnings per share at Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd grew −10.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.6 %, EBIT margin −16.5 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
The market capitalisation of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is 4.4B CNY (≈ $657M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
Earnings per share at Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd are ¥0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 80.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
The dividend yield of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is 1.0% (payout 71.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
The net margin of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
The operating margin of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530)?
Revenue at Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is growing −10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530) generate?
The free cash flow of Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd is −70.8M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd (000530) hold?
Bingshan Refrigeration & Heat Transfer Technologies Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 308M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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