Guizhou Tyre Co (000589) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 7.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥6.45 to ¥3.90 (−39.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −0.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥2.90 (bear) to ¥5.07 (bull), base ¥3.90. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 39/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.15 – ¥6.80 · fair‑value band ¥2.90 – ¥5.07 · the ¥4.31 price screens above the ¥3.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Guizhou Tyre Co (000589) currently trades at ¥4.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.90, implying the stock looks roughly 9.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guizhou Tyre Co generated revenue of 11.1B CNY at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at 1.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.90 (bear case) to ¥5.07 (bull case); at ¥4.31, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -10%, 000589 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥7.08) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guizhou Tyre Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of tires in China. The company offers tires for truck/passenger cars, OTRs, agricultural and forestry machineries, industrial vehicles, trailers, and mining machineries, as well as solid and special tires under the Advance, Samson, Tornado, Chinhoo, and Jingang brands.
Full company description
Guizhou Tyre Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of tires in China. The company offers tires for truck/passenger cars, OTRs, agricultural and forestry machineries, industrial vehicles, trailers, and mining machineries, as well as solid and special tires under the Advance, Samson, Tornado, Chinhoo, and Jingang brands. It also provides loader, bulldozer, roller, sand, and downhole mining tires. The company also exports its products to approximately 120 countries and regions, such as Britain, Italy, South Africa, and South America. Guizhou Tyre Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1958 and is based in Guiyang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guizhou Tyre Co reported revenue of ¥10.9B in FY2025 versus ¥7.3B in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥620M in FY2025, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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