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Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd stock ¥3.14, price ¥3.98, that is 21.1% below the price, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical CN · ISIN CNE000000K17

QD Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd

000599 · SHE
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 21% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Fair value ¥3.14 · Overvalued
Quality 32/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.9 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -4.5% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 19/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥7.88 ¥2.85 Fair Value ¥3.14 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.85 – ¥7.88 · fair‑value band ¥2.35 – ¥3.92 · the ¥3.98 price screens above the ¥3.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Qingdao Doublestar Co.,Ltd engages in manufacturing and sales of tires in China and internationally. The company was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China.

Stock analysis

Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599) currently trades at ¥3.98, while our estimate is ¥3.14, 21% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥2.35 (bear) to ¥3.92 (bull), the price of ¥3.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was −360M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 9.9B CNY (≈ $1.5B) Small · P/S ratio 2.58 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1400 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin −4.5% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 19 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −21%, 000599 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥2.35 Fair Value ¥3.14 Bull ¥3.92
Price ¥3.98 · Downside -21.1%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 8
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 98
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 61
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 15
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 76
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.6% (2020) → −5.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

000599 screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 668 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −21.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 9.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.27× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.48× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)5 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)2 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)24 · sector 37

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Magna International Inc MGA $61.30 $99.70 +63% vs 000599
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 351,500 KRW 534,994 KRW +52% vs 000599
Genuine Parts Company GPC $124.71 $115.96 −7% vs 000599
AutoZone, Inc AZO $3,217 $2,468 −23% vs 000599
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €96.50 €72.88 −24% vs 000599
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥56.45 ¥40.74 −28% vs 000599
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥48.42 ¥32.24 −33% vs 000599
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹161.91 ₹96.06 −41% vs 000599
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $89.39 $48.66 −46% vs 000599
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹49,550 ₹25,168 −49% vs 000599

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Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000599

Frequently asked questions

Is Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥3.14 versus a price of ¥3.98, about 21% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000599?
Our estimate for Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is ¥3.14 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.98.
What is the quality score of 000599?
Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥3.14 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥2.35, optimistic scenario ¥3.92. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥3.14, about 21% lower versus a price of ¥3.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.35, optimistic scenario ¥3.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.19% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.2%.
What is the intrinsic value of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd it is ¥3.14 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥3.98.
Is Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 000599 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.98, fair value ¥3.14, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000599?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.14). For Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd the two are ¥0.8400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd worth?
The market values Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd at about 9.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.98; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000599?
Our models span a range for Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.35, base ¥3.14, optimistic ¥3.92 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥3.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000599 from its 52-week high?
Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd trades at ¥3.98, about 49% below its 52-week high of ¥7.88 and 7% above the low of ¥3.72 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥3.98, calculated fair value ¥3.14 (−21%), Quality Score 32/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥3.98. Our estimate is ¥3.14, about 21% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
The market capitalisation of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is 9.9B CNY (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is 2.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd are ¥−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
The dividend yield of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
The net margin of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is −4.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is −3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
The operating margin of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
Revenue at Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is growing −2.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599)?
Earnings per share at Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd are growing +12.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599) generate?
The free cash flow of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is −292M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd (000599) carry?
The net debt of Qingdao Doublestar Co Ltd is 3.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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