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Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co (000615) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 6.1B CNY

JA Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co 000615 · SHE
Price¥3.44
Fair Value¥0.4930
Upside-85.7%
Quality38/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -69.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.3485 – ¥0.6290 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +9.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6290). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥0.3485 to ¥0.6290) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥16.67 ¥0.9629 Fair Value ¥0.4930 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥0.9629 – ¥16.67 · fair‑value band ¥0.3485 – ¥0.6290 · the ¥3.44 price screens above the ¥0.4930 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co (000615) currently trades at ¥3.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4930, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co generated revenue of 886M CNY at a net margin of -69.8%. Revenue declined 37.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -73.4%. Net debt stands at 137M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3485 (bear case) to ¥0.6290 (bull case); at ¥3.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -86%, 000615 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.1700 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3400 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.1400 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3300 74
EV/EBITDA ¥0.4400 ¥0.6000 ¥0.7700 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.1600 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3500 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.1400 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3400 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.2900 ¥0.4800 ¥0.7200 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.1400 ¥0.2200 ¥0.3000 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.2400 ¥0.3800 ¥0.5500 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.4400 ¥0.6000 ¥0.7700 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.1500 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3100 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.5200 ¥0.7000 ¥1.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.1700 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3400 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.1400 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3300 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥0.7000) versus DCF Models (¥0.2300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 886M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -37.7%
Net margin -69.8%
Return on equity -73.4%
Free cash flow 38.1M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 0.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.6500
EPS growth (YoY) +65.6%
Net debt 137M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co., Ltd. offers technologies, materials, and services to beauty and health industry in China and internationally. It operates through Chemical Fiber Business, Medical Beauty Business, and Warehousing Business Segments.

Full company description

Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co., Ltd. offers technologies, materials, and services to beauty and health industry in China and internationally. It operates through Chemical Fiber Business, Medical Beauty Business, and Warehousing Business Segments. The company produces and sells lyocell fiber, viscose filament, glassine, chemical fiber pulp, refined cotton and other products. In addition, it engages in property management and warehousing services. The company was formerly known as Aoyuan Beauty Valley Technology Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co., Ltd. in February 2026. Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co reported revenue of ¥976M in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥444M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
976M CNY
Latest YoY
−10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+6.5%
Revenue −11.5%/yr
FY21 ¥1.6B
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥976M
Net income
FY21 −¥284M
FY22 −¥1.6B
FY23 −¥376M
FY24 −¥350M
FY25 −¥444M

000615 screens 86% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000615

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -70% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -38% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.03× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 23.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 35.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 93 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co (000615) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4930 versus a price of ¥3.44, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000615?
Our model-based fair value for Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co is ¥0.4930 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.44.
What is the quality score of 000615?
Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co (000615)?
Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 886M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000615?
The net profit margin of Jointown Aesthetics Valley Co is about -69.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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