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Shunfa Hengneng Corporation (000631) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 7.5B CNY

SH Shunfa Hengneng Corporation 000631 · SHE
Price¥2.95
Fair Value¥2.49
Upside-15.6%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.45% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.41 – ¥2.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +2.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥2.41 to ¥2.58), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.46 ¥2.18 Fair Value ¥2.49 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.18 – ¥5.46 · fair‑value band ¥2.41 – ¥2.58 · the ¥2.95 price screens above the ¥2.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Shunfa Hengneng Corporation (000631) currently trades at ¥2.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.49, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shunfa Hengneng Corporation generated revenue of 459M CNY at a net margin of 10.1%. Revenue declined 24.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.41 (bear case) to ¥2.58 (bull case); at ¥2.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -16%, 000631 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥1.71 ¥1.58 ¥1.13 76
P/S Multiple ¥0.3300 ¥0.4400 ¥0.5400 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.3300 ¥0.4400 ¥0.5400 55
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple ¥0.3300 ¥0.4400 ¥0.5400 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.3300 ¥0.4400 ¥0.5400 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.44 ¥2.56 ¥2.68 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.94 ¥3.23 ¥3.52 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.28 ¥2.36 ¥2.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.27 ¥1.71 ¥2.55 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.71 ¥1.58 ¥1.13 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥2.36) versus Economic Profit (¥1.58). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 459M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.8%
Net margin 10.1%
Return on equity 1.2%
Free cash flow −142M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 162.0
More key figures
Operating margin 11.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -70.0%
Net cash 5.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shunfa Hengneng Corporation engages in the real estate development and operation business. The company primarily develops residential real estate projects.

Full company description

Shunfa Hengneng Corporation engages in the real estate development and operation business. The company primarily develops residential real estate projects. It also engages in the natural gas power generation and on-grid sales; supporting mechanical and electrical equipment production and sales; and sale of hot water produced by waste heat, as well as power grid auxiliary service project development, operation, maintenance, and technical services. In addition, the company offers development and sales of real estate; property management business; canteen catering services; wind power generation, such as wind power, solar energy and other clean energy power generation business; and comprehensive smart energy services. The company was formerly known as Shunfa Hengye Corporation and changed its name to Shunfa Hengneng Corporation in July 2024. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Zhangzhou, China. Shunfa Hengneng Corporation is a subsidiary of Wanxiang Group Corporation.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shunfa Hengneng Corporation reported revenue of ¥493M in FY2025 versus ¥272M in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥59.0M in FY2025, compounding −11.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 11/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
493M CNY
Latest YoY
+57.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+4.2%
Revenue +16.0%/yr
FY21 ¥272M
FY22 ¥307M
FY23 ¥2.2B
FY24 ¥313M
FY25 ¥493M
Net income −11.4%/yr
FY21 ¥95.6M
FY22 ¥162M
FY23 ¥331M
FY24 ¥84.9M
FY25 ¥59.0M

000631 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shunfa Hengneng Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000631

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -25% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 162.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 16.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 5 · sector 10
HEALTH 98 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 9 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shunfa Hengneng Corporation (000631) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.49 versus a price of ¥2.95, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000631?
Our model-based fair value for Shunfa Hengneng Corporation is ¥2.49 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.95.
What is the quality score of 000631?
Shunfa Hengneng Corporation has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shunfa Hengneng Corporation (000631)?
Shunfa Hengneng Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 459M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000631?
The net profit margin of Shunfa Hengneng Corporation is about 10.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shunfa Hengneng Corporation pay a dividend?
Shunfa Hengneng Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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