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Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co (000690) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 11.3B CNY

GB Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co 000690 · SHE
Price¥4.80
Fair Value¥5.51
Upside+14.8%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.87% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.13 – ¥6.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥5.84 to ¥5.51 (−5.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +6.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥4.13 (bear) to ¥6.89 (bull), base ¥5.51. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.82 ¥3.44 Fair Value ¥5.51 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.44 – ¥6.82 · fair‑value band ¥4.13 – ¥6.89 · the ¥4.80 price screens below the ¥5.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co (000690) currently trades at ¥4.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.51, implying the stock looks roughly 14.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co generated revenue of 8.8B CNY at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at 2.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.13 (bear case) to ¥6.89 (bull case); at ¥4.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 15%, 000690 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.44 ¥4.61 ¥4.66 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.45 ¥2.97 ¥3.42 72
Gordon GGM ¥3.70 ¥7.70 ¥12.21 70
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.09 ¥5.32 ¥10.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.91 ¥7.12 ¥12.77 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.21 ¥5.60 ¥9.75 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.06 ¥3.87 ¥8.81 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.77 ¥5.23 ¥11.22 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.29 ¥4.08 ¥8.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.20 ¥12.23 ¥16.98 54
Lynch FV ¥3.41 ¥4.88 ¥6.34 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.41 ¥4.88 ¥6.34 46
EPV ¥2.45 ¥2.97 ¥3.42 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.70 ¥7.70 ¥12.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.70 ¥6.49 ¥8.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.38 ¥5.84 ¥7.30 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.13 ¥5.51 ¥6.89 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.13 ¥5.51 ¥6.89 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.17 ¥5.77 ¥7.38 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.78 ¥6.59 ¥8.41 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.24 ¥4.92 ¥6.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.80 ¥3.76 ¥5.61 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.44 ¥4.61 ¥4.66 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.45 ¥2.97 ¥3.42 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.79 ¥6.84 ¥8.89 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥6.84) versus Economic Profit (¥2.97). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.0%
Net margin 11.8%
Return on equity 8.1%
Free cash flow 1.1M CNY FY2024
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 20.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4700
Dividend yield 4.9%
Net debt 2.6B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co., Ltd. engages in the power and finance business in China. It operates through Management Headquarters; New Energy Power; and Financial Services segments. The company generates and sells power using thermal power and wind sources. It also provides investment and asset management services.

Full company description

Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co., Ltd. engages in the power and finance business in China. It operates through Management Headquarters; New Energy Power; and Financial Services segments. The company generates and sells power using thermal power and wind sources. It also provides investment and asset management services. Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Meixian, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co reported revenue of ¥7.9B in FY2024 versus ¥7.2B in FY2020, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥706M in FY2024, compounding −21.1%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
7.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−23.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+21.7%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY20 ¥7.2B
FY21 ¥9.4B
FY22 ¥9.4B
FY23 ¥10.3B
FY24 ¥7.9B
Net income −21.1%/yr
FY20 ¥1.8B
FY21 ¥824M
FY22 ¥183M
FY23 ¥889M
FY24 ¥706M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000690

Peer Group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.48× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.93× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.29× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1,512.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 23
FUTURE 30 · sector 0
PAST 32 · sector 31
HEALTH 76 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 97 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $257.57 $89.08 -65%
Vistra Corp VST $158.86 $47.59 -70%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹218.45 ₹75.57 -65%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥3.88 ¥3.13 -19%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $137.90 $56.02 -59%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 67.50 THB 40.44 THB -40%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,730 ₹342.02 -80%
Talen Energy Corporation TLN $372.37 $44.67 -88%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.80 ¥4.95 -15%
Power Assets Holdings 0006 HK$58.45 HK$31.90 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co (000690) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.51 versus a price of ¥4.80, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000690?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co is ¥5.51 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.80.
What is the quality score of 000690?
Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co (000690)?
Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000690?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co pay a dividend?
Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.87% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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