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CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd ¥0.99, price ¥4.73, upside -79.1%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · CN · ISIN CNE000000727

CR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd

000736 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥0.9900 · Strongly overvalued (−79%)
!Quality 40/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -36.9% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥29.17 ¥3.65 Fair Value ¥0.9900 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.65 – ¥29.17 · fair‑value band ¥0.6500 – ¥1.24 · the ¥4.73 price screens above the ¥0.9900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

CCCG Urban Development Holding Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, operation, and sale of real estate in China. The company operates through Real Estate Development, and Property and Leasing segments.

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CCCG Urban Development Holding Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, operation, and sale of real estate in China. The company operates through Real Estate Development, and Property and Leasing segments. It develops and sells residential and commercial real estate; and provides property services and property leasing services for residential and commercial real estate. The company was formerly known as CCCG Real Estate Company Limited and changed its name to CCCG Urban Development Holding Group Co., Ltd. in May 2026. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, China. CCCG Urban Development Holding Group Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of CCCC Real Estate Group Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736) currently trades at ¥4.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9900, implying the stock looks roughly 377.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ¥0.6500 (bear) to ¥1.24 (bull), the price of ¥4.73 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd reported revenue of 14.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 14.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.5B CNY (≈ $528M) · P/S ratio 1.05 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.62 · Net margin −11.6% · Return on equity −22.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.7% · Operating margin 2.8% · Revenue growth (YoY) −97.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −79%, 000736 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.6500 Fair Value ¥0.9900 Bull ¥1.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8100 ¥1.08 ¥1.62 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8100 ¥1.08 ¥1.62 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.5% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
23.8% (2020) → −6.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

000736 screens 378% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 579 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −37% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −97% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 13.08× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.44× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$109.70 HK$153.48 +40%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.44 HK$71.69 +54%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.74 $1.52 −83%
DLF Limited DLF ₹669.50 ₹170.37 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.35 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,144 ₹285.04 −75%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 4,980 IDR 1,325 IDR −73%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.68 ¥14.20 +150%
CTP N.V CTPNV €13.58 €10.30 −24%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.27 ¥7.06 −3%

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CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd · Fair Value
¥0.9900 −378%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000736

Frequently asked questions

Is CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.9900 versus a price of ¥4.73, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000736?
Our model-based fair value for CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is ¥0.9900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.73.
What is the quality score of 000736?
CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.9900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.6500, optimistic scenario ¥1.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.9900, about −79% upside versus a price of ¥4.73 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.6500, optimistic scenario ¥1.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd it is ¥0.9900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥4.73. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 000736 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.73, fair value ¥0.9900, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000736?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.9900). For CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd the two are ¥3.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd worth?
The market values CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd at about 3.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.73; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.9900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000736?
Our models span a range for CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.6500, base ¥0.9900, optimistic ¥1.24 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥4.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
Balance-sheet figures for CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −22.5%, debt of 13.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000736 from its 52-week high?
CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd trades at ¥4.73, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥6.81 and 30% above the low of ¥3.65 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.9900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥4.73, calculated fair value ¥0.9900 (−79%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000736 calculated?
We run CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.9900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥4.73. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.9900, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.6500 to ¥1.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
The market capitalisation of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is 3.5B CNY (≈ $528M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is 1.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
Earnings per share at CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd are ¥−1.62. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
The net margin of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is −11.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is −22.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is −7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
The operating margin of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
Revenue at CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is growing −97.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −27.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736)?
Earnings per share at CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd are growing +25.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736) generate?
The free cash flow of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is −289M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd (000736) carry?
The net debt of CCCG Real Estate Corp Ltd is 7.5B CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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