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Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co (000926) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY

HF Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co 000926 · SHE
Price¥2.16
Fair Value¥4.95
Upside+129.2%
Quality43/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -107.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.04 – ¥5.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from ¥4.98 to ¥4.95 (−0.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +10.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 129% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥4.04). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.06 ¥1.81 Fair Value ¥4.95 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.81 – ¥5.06 · fair‑value band ¥4.04 – ¥5.94 · the ¥2.16 price screens below the ¥4.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co (000926) currently trades at ¥2.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.95, implying the stock looks roughly 129.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 3.9B CNY. Revenue grew 16.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -51.7%. Net debt stands at 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.04 (bear case) to ¥5.94 (bull case); at ¥2.16, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 129%, 000926 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.56 ¥13.19 ¥19.69 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.58 ¥3.30 ¥4.22 74
EV/EBITDA ¥0.0400 54
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.48 ¥13.85 ¥21.94 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.58 ¥3.13 ¥3.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.78 ¥3.50 ¥4.20 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.67 ¥5.73 ¥6.86 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.80 ¥5.98 ¥7.30 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.0400 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.68 ¥2.26 ¥3.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.56 ¥13.19 ¥19.69 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.58 ¥3.30 ¥4.22 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.73) versus Asset-Based (¥2.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.5%
Net margin -107%
Return on equity -51.7%
Free cash flow 1.3B CNY FY2025
Operating margin -0.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-2.61
EPS growth (YoY) +8.6%
Net debt 2.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 48
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate development business in China and internationally. The company is involved real estate development, as well as researches and develops metal products.

Full company description

Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate development business in China and internationally. The company is involved real estate development, as well as researches and develops metal products. It also offers radial tire steel cord, steel wire, steel wire rope, steel strand, and other products that are used in tire industry, prestressed engineering of highways and bridges, transportation, communications, aviation, navigation, electric power, coal, construction, petrochemical, and agriculture fields. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Hanchuan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co reported revenue of ¥3.8B in FY2025 versus ¥12.5B in FY2021, a compound −25.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥4.1B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−56.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−36.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+10.1%
Revenue −25.6%/yr
FY21 ¥12.5B
FY22 ¥15.1B
FY23 ¥5.5B
FY24 ¥8.8B
FY25 ¥3.8B
Net income
FY21 ¥171M
FY22 ¥105M
FY23 ¥68.3M
FY24 −¥2.6B
FY25 −¥4.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000926

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +129% · Top 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -107% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.70× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 83 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 80 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co (000926) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.95 versus a price of ¥2.16, about +129% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000926?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co is ¥4.95 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.16.
What is the quality score of 000926?
Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co (000926)?
Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000926?
The net profit margin of Hubei Fuxing Science and Technology Co is about -107.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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