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Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 12.0B CNY

YL Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co 000998 · SHE
Price¥8.17
Fair Value¥2.68
Upside-67.2%
Quality29/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.51% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/15)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.51 – ¥2.68 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price +2.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥26.39 ¥7.42 Fair Value ¥2.68 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.42 – ¥26.39 · fair‑value band ¥1.51 – ¥2.68 · the ¥8.17 price screens above the ¥2.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) currently trades at ¥8.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.68, implying the stock looks roughly 67.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co generated revenue of 8.0B CNY at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue declined 35.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.2%. Net debt stands at 4.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.51 (bear case) to ¥2.68 (bull case); at ¥8.17, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -67%, 000998 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.65 ¥3.81 ¥7.64 80
Residual Income ¥3.24 ¥3.10 ¥2.53 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.66 ¥7.95 ¥13.78 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.70 ¥4.10 ¥8.70 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.33 ¥5.37 ¥11.01 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.66 ¥8.18 ¥14.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.48 ¥14.26 ¥24.56 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.07 ¥2.58 ¥4.37 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.81 ¥6.95 ¥13.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.91 ¥11.53 ¥22.63 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.26 ¥2.74 ¥4.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.7700 ¥4.14 ¥5.73 54
Lynch FV ¥1.14 ¥1.64 ¥2.13 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.14 ¥1.64 ¥2.13 46
EPV ¥4.18 ¥5.02 ¥5.76 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.78 ¥2.37 ¥2.96 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.44 ¥1.92 ¥2.40 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.44 ¥1.92 ¥2.40 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.65 ¥9.16 ¥11.67 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.21 ¥12.57 ¥15.93 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.49 ¥6.79 ¥9.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.27 ¥3.04 ¥4.54 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.65 ¥3.81 ¥7.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.66 ¥7.95 ¥13.78 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.24 ¥3.10 ¥2.53 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.18 ¥5.67 ¥7.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.68 ¥2.40 ¥3.12 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.37) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.64). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -35.6%
Net margin 0.5%
Return on equity -1.2%
Free cash flow 277M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 272.3
More key figures
Operating margin -19.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0300
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.2%
Net debt 4.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 21
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co., Ltd. engages in cultivating, promoting, and selling of crop seeds and seedlings in China.

Full company description

Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co., Ltd. engages in cultivating, promoting, and selling of crop seeds and seedlings in China. It primarily offers rice, corn, vegetables and fruit, wheat, cotton seeds, peppers, cucumbers, millet, sunflowers, melons, soybeans, rapeseed, and other specialized and oil crops; researches, produces, and sells pesticides and fertilizers; processes and sells agricultural and sideline products; and provides agricultural high-tech development, agricultural technology transfer and consulting, and training services. The company is also involved in the import and export business of goods and technologies; land development investment; and other investment businesses, as well as land consolidation and restoration business. Further, it offers agricultural services, such as integrated grain planting, farmer training, and agricultural foreign aid as the supporting services. Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co reported revenue of ¥8.5B in FY2025 versus ¥3.5B in FY2021, a compound +24.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥166M in FY2025, compounding +27.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.8%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.5%
Revenue +24.7%/yr
FY21 ¥3.5B
FY22 ¥7.5B
FY23 ¥9.2B
FY24 ¥8.6B
FY25 ¥8.5B
Net income +27.7%/yr
FY21 ¥62.4M
FY22 −¥833M
FY23 ¥200M
FY24 ¥114M
FY25 ¥166M

000998 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000998

Peer Group

Farm Products · 290 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -36% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 272.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.51× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 68 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 10 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.68 versus a price of ¥8.17, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000998?
Our model-based fair value for Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is ¥2.68 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.17.
What is the quality score of 000998?
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000998?
The net profit margin of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co pay a dividend?
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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