Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co stock ¥2.81, price ¥7.99, that is 64.8% below the price, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.42 – ¥26.39 · fair‑value band ¥2.54 – ¥4.27 · the ¥7.99 price screens above the ¥2.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co., Ltd. engages in cultivating, promoting, and selling of crop seeds and seedlings in China.
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It primarily offers rice, corn, vegetables and fruit, wheat, cotton seeds, peppers, cucumbers, millet, sunflowers, melons, soybeans, rapeseed, and other specialized and oil crops; researches, produces, and sells pesticides and fertilizers; processes and sells agricultural and sideline products; and provides agricultural high-tech development, agricultural technology transfer and consulting, and training services.
The company is also involved in the import and export business of goods and technologies; land development investment; and other investment businesses, as well as land consolidation and restoration business.
Further, it offers agricultural services, such as integrated grain planting, farmer training, and agricultural foreign aid as the supporting services. Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.
Stock analysis
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) currently trades at ¥7.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.81, 65% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥6.68 per share, and 2 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥7.99 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.39, and 21 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥2.54 (bear) to ¥4.27 (bull), the price of ¥7.99 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co reported revenue of 8.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +24.7%/yr. Reported net income was 166M CNY in FY2025, compounding +27.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 11.7B CNY (≈ $1.8B) Small · P/E ratio 57.1 · P/S ratio 1.95 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1400 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −65%, 000998 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥2.54Fair Value ¥2.81Bull¥4.27
Price ¥7.99 · Downside -64.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0846 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥2.99¥3.02¥3.1376
FCF DCF¥3.40¥6.68¥12.3975
Growth DCF¥3.30¥6.15¥10.6374
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥3.40¥6.68¥12.3975
5Y Revenue Exit¥3.35¥6.68¥11.3369
5Y EBITDA Exit¥5.32¥10.92¥18.2472
5Y P/E Exit¥1.82¥3.38¥5.1768
10Y Revenue Exit¥3.19¥6.29¥11.3163
10Y EBITDA Exit¥4.56¥9.28¥16.9864
10Y P/E Exit¥2.35¥3.96¥6.2662
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥0.7700¥4.14¥5.7363
Lynch FV¥1.14¥1.64¥2.1361
PEG = 1.0¥1.14¥1.64¥2.1357
EPV¥2.66¥3.14¥3.5473
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥2.25¥4.19¥5.9567
DDM Multi-Stage¥2.25¥3.76¥4.4667
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥1.78¥2.37¥2.9663
P/S Multiple¥1.44¥1.92¥2.4057
EV/EBIT¥3.20¥5.07¥6.9363
EV/EBITDA¥5.10¥7.60¥10.1166
EV/Revenue¥1.60¥3.31¥5.0250
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥3.30¥6.15¥10.6374
Rev-Margin DCF¥3.35¥6.56¥10.9269
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥2.99¥3.02¥3.1376
ROIC Compounder¥2.66¥3.14¥3.5471
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥1.68¥2.40¥3.1267
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.4% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +10.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +10.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 10.4% / −12.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 10%
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.069 per share, median 0.55 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.2% a year for the price and +3.6% for the forecasts.
Compare Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 302 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−64.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Return on assets0.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−41.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)12.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)57.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.76× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000998
Frequently asked questions
Is Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.81 versus a price of ¥7.99, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000998?
Our model-based fair value for Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is ¥2.81 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.99.
What is the quality score of 000998?
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.81 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.54, optimistic scenario ¥4.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.81, about 65% lower versus a price of ¥7.99 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.54, optimistic scenario ¥4.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co pay a dividend?
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co currently shows a dividend yield of 0.53% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co pays a dividend of ¥0.042 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 12, 2026. The payout ratio is 28.2% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 30.0%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.48 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co would have to grow free cash flow by +32.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.8 % per year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 000998 use?
Our models discount Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co that is +32.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co grew +20.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +32.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (+32.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.36 %: that much free cash flow Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co it is ¥2.81 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of ¥7.99. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, 000998 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.99, fair value ¥2.81, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000998?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.99); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.81). For Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co the two are ¥5.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co worth?
The market values Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co at about 11.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.99; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000998?
Our models span a range for Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co: cautious scenario ¥2.54, base ¥2.81, optimistic ¥4.27 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price ¥7.99). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000998?
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 57.1 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.81 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 66.6 (reported for FY2025: 70.8). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 86.0. Other multiples: PEG 0.0, P/B 1.8, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 20.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 000998?
The PEG ratio of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is 0.03 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 11, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000998 from its 52-week high?
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co trades at ¥7.99, about 27% below its 52-week high of ¥10.98 and 8% above the low of ¥7.42 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.81 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price ¥7.99, calculated fair value ¥2.81 (−65%), Quality Score 32/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000998 calculated?
We run Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥2.81 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥7.99. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.81, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
The market capitalisation of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is 11.7B CNY (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is 1.95 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
Earnings per share at Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co are ¥0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 57.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
The dividend yield of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is 0.5% (payout 28.2%, on adjusted earnings, reported 30.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
The net margin of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is 1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
The operating margin of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is −41.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
Revenue at Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is growing +12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998)?
Earnings per share at Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co are growing +18.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) carry?
The net debt of Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co is 4.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 11, 2026